Any near-term attempt to replicate the July migration surge from Morocco into Spain will likely be unsuccessful due to heightened security measures; while the European Union will seek to maintain pragmatic ties with North African countries to encourage continued anti-migration support, more frequent mass migration attempts could trigger EU retaliation. Following the July 30-31 migration crisis, in which around 72,000 people entered the Spanish enclave of Ceuta from Morocco, posts have circulated online, including on Facebook and WhatsApp, calling for another mass migration attempt on Aug. 15. It is unclear who is behind the social media campaign, since the posters are anonymous. But most of the messages have been shared in social media groups frequented by young, disenchanted Moroccans who face limited economic opportunities and disproportionately high unemployment rates. While the majority of the posts have been in Arabic, a few French-language posts also appear directed at people in sub-Saharan...
