Quarterly Forecasts

Quarterly ForecastsJun 24, 2024
2024 Third-Quarter Forecast

Tensions between China, Russia and the West will shape a quarter marked by wars, trade disputes and consequential elections.

Quarterly ForecastsMar 25, 2024
2024 Second-Quarter Forecast

During the quarter, elections in territories covering a joint population of more than 2 billion will determine the political and economic direction of some of the world’s largest economies.

Quarterly ForecastsSep 25, 2023
2023 Fourth-Quarter Geopolitical Forecast

During the final quarter of 2023, the world will feel the impact of a global economy in transition as some of its pillars face headwinds and the war in Ukraine lingers.

Quarterly ForecastsJun 26, 2023
2023 Third-Quarter Forecast
Quarterly ForecastsMar 27, 2023
2023 Second-Quarter Forecast
Quarterly ForecastsSep 26, 2022
2022 Fourth-Quarter Forecast

A lingering energy crisis and monetary tightening will negatively impact economic activity across the world in the fourth quarter, leading to heightened social, political and economic risk.

A handful of wheat, Ukainian President Volodymyr Zelensky, Protest in Chile
Quarterly ForecastsJun 27, 2022
2022 Third-Quarter Forecast
Quarterly ForecastsMar 28, 2022
2022 Second-Quarter Forecast

The war in Ukraine, energy and food inflation and the persistence of the COVID-19 pandemic will create political, economic, security and social risk around the world during the second quarter.

Quarterly ForecastsSep 27, 2021
2021 Fourth-Quarter Forecast

The fourth quarter will see countries with low vaccination rates explore options to "live with COVID" rather than continue severe lockdowns in order to enable economic recovery.

Quarterly ForecastsJun 28, 2021
2021 Third-Quarter Forecast

The third quarter will see a continuation of the global two-speed recovery according to countries' access to vaccines and the success of their vaccination campaigns.

Quarterly ForecastsMar 29, 2021
2021 Second-Quarter Forecast

COVID-19 will again dominate in the second quarter of 2021. With new viral variants and staggered or stalled vaccine rollouts, the global economic rebound will be uneven around the world.

Quarterly ForecastsSep 28, 2020
2020 Fourth-Quarter Forecast

Annual Forecasts

Annual ForecastsJan 3, 2024
2024 Annual Geopolitical Forecast

Elections in 2024 across diverse territories and amid various socioeconomic and geopolitical contexts will collectively influence global affairs and shape international relations for the decade ahead.

Annual ForecastsDec 18, 2023
2024 Annual Forecast: A Global Overview

Ahead of the 2024 U.S. presidential election, countries around the world consider its ramifications for global security, international institutions and trade ties

Annual ForecastsJan 3, 2023
2023 Annual Forecast

Multilateral cooperation will weaken as economic activity slows and the main pillars of the global economy increase protectionism in another year of war and tight energy supplies.

Annual ForecastsDec 18, 2022
2023 Annual Forecast: A Global Overview
Annual ForecastsJan 3, 2022
2022 Annual Forecast
A stack of shipping containers at a port
Annual ForecastsDec 20, 2021
2022 Annual Forecast: A Global Overview

The next year will see slower economic growth and more cyberattacks worldwide, along with increased Western tensions with China, Iran and Russia.

An image of the COVID-19 vaccine, President-elect Joe Biden, the Huawei logo, and a stock market sign
Annual ForecastsJan 3, 2021
2021 Annual Forecast
Annual ForecastsDec 14, 2020
2021 Annual Forecast: A Global Overview

The world will focus on recovering from the COVID-19 pandemic in 2021, coming as the U.S. inaugurates a new president seeking to restore U.S. leadership in global affairs.

Annual ForecastsJan 6, 2020
2020 Annual Forecast

Uncertainty surrounding the outcome of the U.S. presidential and congressional elections will shape the actions and decisions of countries around the world in 2020. A contentious election year in the United States means that even as other nations deal with their own domestic, regional and global concerns, they must take into account the opportunities and risks in decisions that overlap U.S. interests, considering the possible dramatic post-election change in U.S. posture

Annual ForecastsDec 16, 2019
2020 Annual Forecast: A Global Overview

Governments deciding how to approach global trade and economic uncertainty will home in on the U.S. presidential election in 2020 as they try to gauge Washington's future course.

In Stratfor's 2019 Annual Forecast we explore the critical factors that will influence the global system in the year ahead.
Annual ForecastsDec 3, 2018
2019 Annual Forecast

Great power competition is only set to intensify in 2019 and Stratfor's Annual Forecast outlines the critical issues for the coming year.

Though the threat of war on the Korean Peninsula can't be ruled out, the United States will probably try to avoid a costly preventive strike against the North's nuclear weapons program that would plunge the global economy back into recession.
Annual ForecastsDec 26, 2017
2018 Annual Forecast