ASSESSMENTS

A Breakthrough on Climate Targets is Unlikely at Brazil's COP30

Nov 4, 2025 | 16:48 GMT

The COP30 logo at the central building is seen ahead of the COP30 Brazil Amazonia 2025 on Nov. 3, 2025 in Belem, Brazil.
The COP30 logo at the central building is seen ahead of the COP30 Brazil Amazonia 2025 on Nov. 3, 2025 in Belem, Brazil.

(Wagner Meier/Getty Images)

At the COP30 climate conference, countries are likely to reach only limited agreements on climate financing and carbon market frameworks while failing to achieve consensus on phasing out fossil fuels, making significant progress on implementation unlikely and postponing key decisions for another year. Brazil will host the 30th U.N. Climate Change Conference (COP30) from Nov. 10 to 21 in the Amazonian city of Belem. The event's agenda has been structured around six thematic axes: energy, industry and transport; forests, oceans and biodiversity; agriculture and food systems; cities, infrastructure and water; human and social development; and cross-cutting issues. The Brazilian government is seeking to build on previous COP outcomes while pushing the transition from negotiation to execution across mitigation, adaptation and climate finance. Delegates from more than 170 countries will seek to finalize the implementation phase of the 2015 Paris Agreement, which consists of five-year review cycles of countries' climate action...

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