Denmark's General Elections: Potential Outcomes and Their Implications

Denmark will hold parliamentary elections on March 24. The campaign has been shaped by debates over welfare, taxation, migration and the pace of the green transition, as well as tensions surrounding U.S. demands over Greenland. Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen called the election while seeking to capitalize on a partial rebound in support linked in part to her defiant handling of Washington's pressure on Greenland. However, any new government will likely adopt a somewhat more conciliatory tone in an effort to contain tensions, prevent further escalation and reach a compromise if possible. Meanwhile, the governing center-left Social Democrats, center-right Venstre and centrist Moderates remain weakened by years of cross-bloc compromise and voter fatigue. Polling suggests the election is unlikely to produce a clean or ideologically cohesive majority, leaving coalition-building dependent on broad alliances or issue-based support from smaller and potentially opposition parties....