ASSESSMENTS

Economic Concessions to U.S. Offer Path for Regime Survival in Cuba

Feb 10, 2026 | 18:49 GMT

American Airlines planes sit on the tarmac at Jose Marti International Airport in Havana on Feb. 9, 2026.
American Airlines planes sit on the tarmac at Jose Marti International Airport in Havana on Feb. 9, 2026.

(YAMIL LAGE/AFP via Getty Images)

Facing imminent collapse and mounting U.S. pressure, the Cuban government will likely make concessions to Washington to gradually open its economy without requiring structural political changes, which the United States will likely support to avoid a state collapse and reaffirm its geopolitical dominance in the Western Hemisphere....

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