ASSESSMENTS

Previewing Madagascar's Presidential Election

Nov 6, 2023 | 21:09 GMT

Opposition supporters attend a rally in Antananarivo, Madagascar, on Oct. 21, 2023, ahead of the country’s Nov. 16 presidential election.
Opposition supporters attend a rally in Antananarivo, Madagascar, on Oct. 21, 2023, ahead of the country’s Nov. 16 presidential election.

(RIJASOLO/AFP via Getty Images)

In Madagascar, President Andry Rajoelina will likely win reelection, portending limited mining sector reforms, lucrative government contracts with foreign entities, and little change to the country's rampant corruption, poverty and crime rates. The East African island nation of Madagascar will hold a presidential election on Nov. 16, during which President Rajoelina will run for reelection against opposition leaders and former presidents Marc Ravalomanana and Hery Rajaonarimampianina. Siteny Randrianasoloniaiko, a former judo champion and head of the African Judo Union, is also in the running with suspected backing from Russia. Following violent clashes between opposition supporters and security forces during opposition rallies, the high constitutional court postponed the election from Nov. 9 but said that a runoff would still be held on the original date of Dec. 20 if no candidate wins a simple majority. While the "Collective of Eleven" -- an alliance of 11 opposition candidates against Rajoelina -- crumbled...

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