Assessments

Residents wave Somali flags as they attend a rally denouncing Israel's recognition of the breakaway region of Somaliland at Mogadishu Stadium in Mogadishu, Somalia, on Dec. 30, 2025. 

Two regional alignments are coalescing along the Red Sea and in the Horn of Africa, risking the escalation of proxy conflicts and longstanding rivalries.

The Unfolding Regional Realignments Along the Red Sea and Their Implications

The Unfolding Regional Realignments Along the Red Sea and Their Implications | RANE

Highlights

Eritrea

Ethiopia

Somalia

Sudan

United States

Egypt

Israel

Saudi Arabia

Syria

Turkey

United Arab Emirates

Yemen

Economics

Military & Security

Politics

Competing ambitions among countries along the Red Sea and in the Horn of Africa are consolidating two regional alignments, straining traditional partnerships and increasing the risk of proxy escalation and new conflict flashpoints across northeast Africa, Syria and Yemen. 

ASSESSMENTS

The Unfolding Regional Realignments Along the Red Sea and Their Implications

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