United States

Israel

Palestinian Territories

Cyber

Economics

Environment, Science & Technology

Pro-Palestinian hacktivist group BlackMeta claimed responsibility for a large-scale distributed denial of service, or DDoS, attack on the Internet Archive's "Wayback Machine" that lasted five hours, and the group implied plans to carry out another attack on Oct. 10, according to Oct. 9 posts on its X account.

U.S.: Pro-Palestinian Hackers Claim DDoS Attack on Internet Archive Amid Data Breach, Website Defacement

United Kingdom

Russia

Military & Security

The United Kingdom's National Crime Agency sanctioned 16 members of the Russian cybercriminal group Evil Corp and released new details about the gang's operations and ties to the Russian government, BBC reported on Oct. 1.

Russia: U.K. Sanctions Evil Corp Members and Reveals Ties to Russian Government and LockBit

Politics

California Gov. Gavin Newsom vetoed a highly anticipated bill on artificial intelligence safety that, if passed, would have been the most ambitious and sweeping AI-oriented legislation in the United States, The Wall Street Journal reported on Sept. 29.

U.S.: California Governor Vetoes Sweeping Artificial Intelligence Bill

United Arab Emirates

BlackRock, Global Infrastructure Partners, Microsoft and Abu Dhabi's MGX announced the creation of the Global AI Infrastructure Investment Partnership to meet the growing needs for computing power to fuel artificial intelligence innovation, including energy infrastructure and data centers, Reuters reported on Sept. 17.

U.S.: New $30B Global AI Infrastructure Investment Partnership Announced

OpenAI announced on Sept. 12 the release of its new o1 model, codenamed Strawberry, which is intended to be able to reason logically through complex problems and provide step-by-step answers to users on how the problem was worked out.

Cyberspace: OpenAI Releases New Reason-Based Model

Australia

Australian Prime Minister Anthony Albanese announced that his government will introduce legislation to institute legal age minimums for social media platforms before the end of the year, The Straits Times reported on Sept. 10, adding that the platforms' impact on minors has proven a ''scourge.''

Australia: Government to Introduce Social Media Age Restrictions

Approximately 60 countries, including the United States, endorsed a legally non-binding ''blueprint for action'' to govern the responsible use of AI in the military during the Responsible AI in the Military Domain (REAIM) summit held in Seoul on Sept. 10, Reuters reported the same day.

Global: 60 Countries Endorse AI Blueprint for Military Use 

The U.S. Department of Commerce's Bureau of Industry and Security published a Notice of Proposed Rulemaking on Sept. 9 that outlines new reporting requirements for advanced AI developers and cloud computing providers to evaluate their technology's safety and defense capabilities.

U.S.: Commerce Department Proposes Reporting Requirements for AI Developers, Cloud Computing Providers

<p>Individuals, companies, governments and militaries alike all depend on computers. And as is so often the case, these dependencies create vulnerabilities that have made cybersecurity all the more important as proficiencies in cyber warfare and cyber crime improve. That technology constantly improves only adds to the problem of staying safe in the internet age. How governments and their constituents attune themselves to this brave new world will ultimately shape their relationship with the internet &mdash; and with each other.</p>

That technology constantly improves only adds to the problem of staying safe in the internet age.

Americas

Asia-Pacific

Europe

Eurasia

Middle East and North Africa

South Asia

Security

Modernizing China’s Military

Globalization

Echoes of the Cold War

China in Transition

Assessments

Iran

A digital illustration shows a binary code overlaying the Iranian flag.

In the second part of this series, we explore Iran's attempts to steal information, silence critics, and disrupt Western critical infrastructure and organizations via damaging cyberattacks and espionage campaigns.

Iran's Escalating Cyber Strategy Against the West, Part 2

U.S.-Iran Relations

Israel-Hamas Conflict

In the first of this two-part series, we explore Iran's attempts to sway the upcoming U.S. presidential election and heighten anti-Israel sentiments via online influence campaigns and cyberattacks.

Iran's Escalating Cyber Strategy Against the West, Part 1

Germany

France

Italy

A Russian warship transits the Neva River in Saint Petersburg, Russia.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Russia's risk tolerance for physical and cyber operations against Western targets appears to be increasing, raising the likelihood of more disruptive and/or violent attacks.

A More Brazen Russia Slowly Raises the Specter of a NATO Confrontation

Media

Podcasts

What preventative steps should organizations take to protect themselves from cyberattacks? 

Essential Geopolitics: What We Can Learn from High-Profile Cyber Breaches

Forecast Webcast

Energy

Social Issues

Join our analysts for this webcast recording exploring key topics identified in RANE's 2024 Third-Quarter Geopolitical Forecast.

2024 Third-Quarter Geopolitical Forecast Webcast

Global Elections

What entities pose the biggest cyberthreats?

Essential Geopolitics: Growing Cyber Concerns Ahead of the 2024 Paris Olympics

What steps should companies take to keep up with digital advancements and changing tech regulations?

RANE Insights: How Organizations Can Survive and Thrive in the Digital Era

Within America's borders, physical and cyber threats are expected to intensify in the lead-up to the election. Both foreign and domestic actors have already begun to leverage artificial intelligence tools to spread disinformation and deepfake media to influence the outcome or just sow discord. While U.S. authorities have been on high alert for such activity, no one can fully anticipate how the advent and maturation of this disruptive technology will influence the election. In the physical realm, the increasingly polarized political atmosphere will lend itself to a heightened risk of violence and/or protest activity, both before and immediately after the election.

Physical and Cyber Threats in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election

What types of threat actors will be most active leading up to the election?

Essential Geopolitics: Election-Related Cyber Threats in the U.S.

Japan

Philippines

U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken (center), flanked by two other U.S. officials, is seen during a meeting with Japanese Foreign Minister Yoko Kamikawa and Philippine Foreign Minister Enrique Manalo (not pictured) on the sidelines of the 78th United Nations General Assembly at the Lotte Palace Hotel in New York City on Sept. 22, 2023.

A partnership between the three countries will likely improve freedom of navigation and economic security in the South China Sea, but may also raise the risk of trade disputes and conflict with China.

What To Watch for During the Inaugural U.S.-Japan-Philippines Summit

Sub-Saharan Africa

Join our analysts for this webcast recording exploring key topics identified in RANE's 2024 Second-Quarter Geopolitical Forecast.

2024 Second-Quarter Geopolitical Forecast Webcast

U.S.-China Relations

Snapshots

A rendering of Earth from space at night with abstract 5G connection zones. 

In the United Kingdom and the United States, a focus on innovation will sideline robust artificial intelligence regulations.

Cyber

SITUATION REPORTS

U.S.: Pro-Palestinian Hackers Claim DDoS Attack on Internet Archive Amid Data Breach, Website Defacement

Russia: U.K. Sanctions Evil Corp Members and Reveals Ties to Russian Government and LockBit

U.S.: California Governor Vetoes Sweeping Artificial Intelligence Bill

U.S.: New $30B Global AI Infrastructure Investment Partnership Announced

Cyberspace: OpenAI Releases New Reason-Based Model

Australia: Government to Introduce Social Media Age Restrictions

Global: 60 Countries Endorse AI Blueprint for Military Use

U.S.: Commerce Department Proposes Reporting Requirements for AI Developers, Cloud Computing Providers

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