Ukraine

Russia

Economics

Energy

Military & Security

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Ukrainian drones hit Russia's Omsk oil refinery, which is located almost 1,500 miles (2,414 kilometers) east of Ukraine and deep inside Siberia, near Russia's border with Kazakhstan, Kommersant reported on July 6.

Russia, Ukraine: Ukrainian Strikes Deepen Russia's Fuel Crisis

Australia

Indonesia

New Zealand

India

Politics

Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi arrived in Jakarta, Indonesia, for the first stop on his tour of Indonesia, Australia and New Zealand, The Times of India reported on July 6.

India: Modi Begins Tour of Indonesia, Australia and New Zealand

Cuba

United States

Raul Guillermo Rodriguez Castro, the grandson of former Cuban President Raul Castro, said he was open to negotiating with the United States and would be willing to negotiate with U.S. President Donald Trump himself, according to an interview with USA Today published on July 6.

Cuba, U.S.: Former President's Grandson Willing To Negotiate With U.S.

Brazil

On July 6-7, the Office of the U.S. Trade Representative will hear arguments against a proposed 25% tariff on Brazilian goods as the final step of an ongoing Section 301 investigation, Veja reported on July 6.

Brazil, U.S.: Flavio Bolsonaro To Attend USTR Hearing on Brazil

Democratic Republic of the Congo

Environment, Science & Technology

The government of the Democratic Republic of the Congo has begun experimental trials of two treatments for Ebola disease caused by the Bundibugyo virus with support from the World Health Organization, Bloomberg reported on July 6.

Congo: Government, WHO Begin Treatment Trials Against Bundibugyo Virus

United Kingdom

Andy Burnham, the front-runner to succeed Keir Starmer as the Labour Party's leader and the United Kingdom's prime minister, committed to retaining the state pension triple lock during a July 3 "ask me anything" session on Reddit, keeping a key pledge under Labour's 2024 manifesto commitment.

U.K.: Likely Incoming Prime Minister Burnham Pledges To Keep Pension Triple Lock

Japan

Japan and India agreed to expand cooperation in energy, technology and defense during Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi's first visit to New Delhi, where she held talks with Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi, Reuters reported July 2.

India, Japan: Modi and Takaichi Agree to Expand Bilateral Cooperation

Peru

China

A Peruvian court ruled that the government oversees the Chinese-owned port of Chancay, Bloomberg reported July 1.

Peru, U.S., China: Peruvian Court Demands Government Oversight Over Chinese Port

The world is connected, but even the broadest topics deserve an individual look. Below are our latest and most relevant economics analyses.

Below are our latest and most relevant economics analyses.

Sub-Saharan Africa

Americas

Asia-Pacific

Europe

Eurasia

Middle East and North Africa

South Asia

Beyond Quantitative Easing

The New Silk Road

The Fate of the Eurozone

South America: Split Decisions on Trade

Banking

Commodities: A Cautionary Tale

Social Issues

European Disintegration

Russia's Internal Struggle

China in Transition

A Japanese Awakening

East African Integration

Assessments

A thermometer reading a high temperature is shown over an image of Earth.

The compounding effects of the weather event and disruptions to shipping through the Strait of Hormuz are set to drive global inflation and strain agricultural output well into next year.


How the 2026 El Nino Climate Event Will Affect the Global Economy and Security

Media

Iran

Forecast Webcast

Join our analysts for this webcast recording exploring key topics identified in RANE's 2026 Third-Quarter Geopolitical Forecast.

2026 Third-Quarter Forecast Webcast

U.S.-Iran Relations

Columns

On Geopolitics

Chinese President Xi Jinping (center) and Premier Li Qiang attend a plenary session of China's National People's Congress (NPC) at the Great Hall of the People on March 9, 2026, in Beijing, China.

Beijing will prioritize employment and social stability over rapid economic growth in the coming years, pressuring businesses to boost hiring and expand benefits amid demographic pressures, rising youth unemployment and AI-related job disruptions.

China Plans To Stabilize Employment in an Age of Change

Cyber

A fragile truce in the Middle East, persistent energy-driven inflation, shifting U.S. trade policy and escalating regional pressures from Europe to Africa will collectively shape geopolitical risk in the third quarter.

2026 Third-Quarter Forecast: An Excerpt

Canada

Mexico

Cargo ships June 19 off the coast of the Khor Fakkan Container Terminal in Sharjah emirate, along the Gulf of Oman.

A look at what the coming week will bring -- and a list of recommended RANE articles from the week that was.

The Weekly Rundown: Japan's Takaichi Goes to India, an Unsteady U.S.-Iran Ceasefire

Snapshots

Israel

Lebanon

Oman

Maps4media-processed Sentinel-2 satellite imagery shows a broad overview of the Strait of Hormuz on June 16, 2026.

U.S.-Iran talks will face increasingly large obstacles as negotiators approach more contentious topics, namely Iran's nuclear program.

For the U.S. and Iran, the Hardest Negotiations Lie Ahead

The U.S. Treasury Department building in Washington, D.C.

The legal and geographical constraints of Washington's jurisdiction make freezing the assets of countries like Iran a far more flexible and effective diplomatic tool than outright seizure. 

American Financial Power: Freezing vs. Seizing Other Countries' Foreign Assets

Bahrain

Kuwait

Qatar

Saudi Arabia

United Arab Emirates

U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio (C, top) meets with GCC foreign ministers during his visit to the Middle East to discuss with Arab Gulf allies the interim deal between the U.S. and Iran on June 25 in Manama.

While Qatar and Saudi Arabia explore restoring trade ties with Iran, the United Arab Emirates is aligning its security with Israel and the United States.

Divergent Approaches to Iran Expose Gulf Arab Splits

Colombia

Venezuela

Abelardo de la Espriella, who has since been declared president-elect, waves to supporters after casting his vote during the runoff election on June 21, 2026, in Barranquilla, Colombia. 

De la Espriella's administration will reverse many of the outgoing government's security, economic and social policies, restoring a hard-line anti-crime approach and deepening ties with the United States.

What de la Espriella's Victory Means for Colombia

Venezuela's acting President Delcy Rodriguez speaks with journalists following a session at the International Court of Justice (ICJ) regarding the Essequibo region in The Hague on May 11. 

Risk-tolerant investors stand to benefit from unprecedented regulatory changes and direct resource access, but face the risk of reforms being unwound by a future Venezuelan government.


Venezuela's Outlook and Implications for Strategic Sectors, 6 Months After Maduro's Capture

Britain's Prime Minister Keir Starmer poses with his wife Victoria at the door to 10 Downing Street after making a statement on his future outside 10 Downing Street on the morning of June 22, 2026, in London. 

While a swift leadership transition by mid-July could restore near-term political stability, investors will focus on whether Prime Minister Keir Starmer's successor will be able to successfully balance party unity with fiscal discipline.


Burnham Premiership Could Stabilize U.K. Politics, But Markets Remain Cautious

The logo of Danantara Indonesia, the country's second sovereign wealth fund, is seen at its headquarters in Jakarta on March 31, 2026. 

Indonesia's new commodity oversight regime marks a major expansion of state control over strategic exports, but fiscal pressure, investor unease and street protests will likely push a softer monitoring model short of a full state takeover.

Managing Uncertainty Under Indonesia's Evolving Export Control Regime

Economics

SITUATION REPORTS

Russia, Ukraine: Ukrainian Strikes Deepen Russia's Fuel Crisis

India: Modi Begins Tour of Indonesia, Australia and New Zealand

Cuba, U.S.: Former President's Grandson Willing To Negotiate With U.S.

Brazil, U.S.: Flavio Bolsonaro To Attend USTR Hearing on Brazil

Congo: Government, WHO Begin Treatment Trials Against Bundibugyo Virus

U.K.: Likely Incoming Prime Minister Burnham Pledges To Keep Pension Triple Lock

India, Japan: Modi and Takaichi Agree to Expand Bilateral Cooperation

Peru, U.S., China: Peruvian Court Demands Government Oversight Over Chinese Port

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