Europe

Armenia

Belarus

Kazakhstan

Russia

Kyrgyzstan

Economics

Energy

Politics

Leaders of Belarus, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan and Russia issued a joint statement calling for Armenia to hold a referendum on whether to pursue EU membership or remain in the Eurasian Economic Union, and asking their governments to report by December on the possible consequences of suspending the EAEU treaty's application to Armenia, TASS reported on May 29.

Armenia: EAEU Leaders Threaten To Review Armenia's Membership Amid EU Bid

China

European commissioners met to discuss measures aimed at shielding EU industries from a surge in subsidized Chinese imports and securing alternative supplies of critical minerals and key inputs to reduce reliance on Beijing, the European Commission said in a May 29 statement.

EU, China: European Commissioners Weigh Tougher Trade Defenses Against China

Brazil

United States

Military & Security

The administration of U.S. President Donald Trump designated Brazil's two largest organized criminal organizations, Primeiro Comando da Capital and the Comando Vermelho, as foreign terrorist organizations and specially designated global terrorists, U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio announced in a press statement May 28.

U.S., Brazil: U.S. Designates Two Brazilian Criminal Groups as Terrorist Organizations  

Iran

Despite reports that U.S. and Iranian negotiators had reached a memorandum of understanding, a May 29 report from Tasnim News, which is linked to Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, said the text had not been finalized or approved. 

U.S., Iran: Iranian Media Rejects Reports of a Finalized U.S.-Iran MoU

U.S.-Iran Relations

Malaysia

Malaysian Prime Minister Anwar Ibrahim is facing growing pressure from both high-profile and rank-and-file defections within his People's Justice Party (PKR), with roughly 6,000 former PKR members in recent weeks applying to join a newly revamped Bersama party led by former economy minister Rafizi Ramli, Reuters reported May 29.

Malaysia: Prime Minister Weighing Snap Elections as Pressures Mount

Hungary

Hungarian Prime Minister Peter Magyar and European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen announced an agreement in Brussels, Belgium, on May 29 to unlock 16.4 billion euros ($19.1 billion) in EU post-pandemic recovery and cohesion funds for Hungary that had been frozen under the previous government.

Hungary, EU: Hungary Strikes Deal With Brussels To Unlock Billions in Frozen EU Funds

Israel

Palestinian Territories

Israel-Hamas Conflict

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said he had ordered the military to take control of 70% of the Gaza Strip, up from a currently estimated 64% and well beyond the confines of the October 2025 ceasefire agreement, The Times of Israel reported on May 28. 

Israel, Gaza: Netanyahu Orders Israeli Military To Take 70% of Gaza

Sweden

Ukraine

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky said Ukraine will buy 150 Swedish Gripen fighter jets using part of a 90 billion euro ($105 billion) credit line, during his meeting with Swedish Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson in Uppsala, Sweden, Interfax-Ukraine reported on May 28.

Ukraine, Sweden: Gripen Deal Deepens Kyiv's Nordic-Baltic Defense Ties

The world is connected, but even the broadest topics deserve an individual look. Below are our latest and most relevant politics analyses.

Below are our latest and most relevant politics analyses.

Sub-Saharan Africa

Americas

Asia-Pacific

Eurasia

Middle East and North Africa

South Asia

The Post-Apartheid Era Ends

Venezuela's Unraveling

The Saudi Survival Strategy

The Kurdish Struggle

Israel's Survival Strategy

Turkey's Resurgence

EU: Regional Blocs

Divided EU Foreign Policies

Brexit

Old Leaders in a New Africa

The U.S. and the Balance of Power

The Pulse of Political Islam

Broken Contracts in the Middle East

Russia's Internal Struggle

China in Transition

Southeast Asia: Burdened by Consensus

India's Own Worst Enemy

Pakistan: A Military With a Country

Assessments

Colombia

Lebanon

The Ateela 2 Oil Tanker on April 28 on Qeshm Island, Iran in the Strait of Hormuz.

Environment, Science & Technology

A look at what the coming week will bring -- and a list of recommended RANE articles from the week that was.

The Weekly Rundown: U.S.-Iran Discussions, Brussels To Unveil Tech Sovereignty Package

Snapshots

Philippines

Police personnel arrive outside the Senate of the Philippines in Pasay, Metro Manila, on May 13, 2026.

Intensifying Marcos-Duterte tensions, fueled by the vice president's impeachment and the ICC's attempted arrest of a Duterte-aligned senator, are testing Philippine institutions and threatening policy gridlock before the 2028 presidential race.

The Escalating Marcos-Duterte Feud Threatens Philippine Institutions

Supporters of Colombian presidential candidate Ivan Cepeda wave flags ahead of his closing campaign rally in Barranquilla, Colombia, on May 24, 2026.

A left-wing victory would portend increased social spending and policy gridlock, a far-right win would portend austerity and decree-based governance, and a center-right win would foster market-friendly policies and stability.

Colombia's Presidential Election: Potential Outcomes and Their Implications

Global Elections

Spain

A National Police van is parked in front of the Spanish Socialist Workers' Party headquarters during the Civil Guard's police search on May 27, 2026, in Madrid, Spain. 

Widening inquiries into public procurement and influence peddling will continue to weaken the government of Prime Minister Pedro Sanchez.

Scandals Linked to Spanish PM Sanchez Point to Continued Political Paralysis 

Technicians work at the main blast furnace at the Zaporizhstal Iron and Steel Works on Feb. 12, 2024 in Zaporizhzhia, Ukraine.

Part two of this report examines how either a comprehensive peace agreement or a severe escalation of the war would affect Ukraine's investment climate.



Scenarios for the Future of Foreign Investment in Ukraine, Part 2

Ethiopia

Ethiopian Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed delivers remarks during the official inauguration ceremony of the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam in Guba on Sept. 9, 2025.

Prime Minister Abiy will likely be reelected without sustained unrest, but escalating tensions in Tigray could still fuel a worsening security crisis in the Amhara and/or Oromia regions in a less-likely, higher-impact scenario.

Previewing Ethiopia's General Elections

An employee assembles a long-range drone in a workshop of the Fire Point company, which manufactures FP-1 deep-strike drones and FP-2 strike drones, Jan. 29 in an undisclosed location in Ukraine.

This two-part report outlines how the trajectory of the war with Russia will act as the ultimate determinant of capital allocation and economic recovery in Ukraine.

Scenarios for the Future of Foreign Investment in Ukraine, Part 1

The USS Rafael Peralta implements a maritime blockade against an Iranian-flagged ship attempting to sail toward an Iranian port on April 26, 2026, in the Arabian Sea.

Despite ongoing U.S.-Iran diplomatic engagement, unresolved disputes and continued hostilities make prolonged, unstable containment more likely than a comprehensive, long-lasting peace agreement.

U.S.-Iran Talks More Likely To Contain the War Than Resolve It

Argentina

Bolivia

Chile

The Geopolitics of Natural Resources

Argentina, Bolivia and Chile have had varying degrees of success in developing their lithium production capacity, with Chile achieving the greatest success of the three, and Bolivia lagging behind.

The Outlook for the Lithium Triangle Amid the Global Energy Transition, Part 1

Japan

India

A cargo ship anchored May 16 in the Strait of Hormuz near Larak Island, Iran. Major gaps in negotiations over the Strait of Hormuz and Iran's nuclear program persist, and the U.S.-Iran ceasefire will remain fragile over the next week.

The Weekly Rundown: Rubio Visits India, a Fragile U.S.-Iran Ceasefire

Cuba

Acting U.S. Attorney General Todd Blanche (center) speaks during a news conference announcing the indictment of former Cuban president Raul Castro, at the Freedom Tower in Miami, Florida, on May 20, 2026.

Recent U.S. escalations against Cuba are creating a pretext for kinetic action, most likely a targeted operation to capture key officials, though an airstrike campaign and/or a ground deployment also remain possible.

Assessing the Potential for U.S. Military Action in Cuba

Greenland

Denmark

U.S. special envoy to Greenland, Republican Louisiana Governor Jeff Landry (center right), and Greenlandic mason and Trump supporter Jorgen Boassen (center left) are pictured in Nuuk, Greenland, on May 20, 2026, on the sidelines of the Future Greenland business fair. 

Ongoing talks with Greenland and Denmark will likely yield a deal that meets most U.S. objectives without requiring formal annexation, though a broader transatlantic crisis remains possible if negotiations collapse.

Can the U.S. Reach a Compromise on Greenland That Averts a Transatlantic Crisis?

Politics

SITUATION REPORTS

Armenia: EAEU Leaders Threaten To Review Armenia's Membership Amid EU Bid

EU, China: European Commissioners Weigh Tougher Trade Defenses Against China

U.S., Brazil: U.S. Designates Two Brazilian Criminal Groups as Terrorist Organizations

U.S., Iran: Iranian Media Rejects Reports of a Finalized U.S.-Iran MoU

Malaysia: Prime Minister Weighing Snap Elections as Pressures Mount

Hungary, EU: Hungary Strikes Deal With Brussels To Unlock Billions in Frozen EU Funds

Israel, Gaza: Netanyahu Orders Israeli Military To Take 70% of Gaza

Ukraine, Sweden: Gripen Deal Deepens Kyiv's Nordic-Baltic Defense Ties

Forecasts

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