India

Military & Security

Politics

An Indian court sentenced a police volunteer to life imprisonment for the rape and murder of a junior doctor at a hospital in Kolkata in August 2024, Reuters reported on Jan. 20. 

India: Court Sentences Police Volunteer to Life Imprisonment for Rape and Murder of Junior Doctor

United States

Environment, Science & Technology

On Inauguration Day, new U.S. President Donald Trump revoked a Biden-era artificial intelligence executive order that introduced requirements for developers of the most powerful AI systems to share safety test results and other critical information with the U.S. government prior to their release to the public, Reuters reported on Jan. 20.

U.S.: Trump Rolls Back Biden-Era AI Executive Order

Cambodia

China

Laos

Myanmar

Thailand

Vietnam

The Myanmar junta and ethnic armed organization Myanmar National Democratic Alliance Army, or MNDAA, signed a China-brokered ceasefire agreement, halting conflict in northern Shan state along the Chinese border, Reuters reported on Jan. 21. 

Myanmar: Ceasefire, Scam Crackdown Highlight Growing Regional Congruence

Americas

On Inauguration Day, new U.S. President Donald Trump signed an executive order seeking to delay the enforcement of the divest-or-ban law targeting Chinese-owned social media platform TikTok -- which took effect on Jan. 19 -- for 75 days, The New York Times reported on Jan. 20.

U.S.: Trump Seeks To Delay TikTok Divest-or-Ban Law via Executive Order

Syria

Turkey

Syria's Defense Minister Murhaf Abu Qasra rejected a proposal by the U.S.-backed Kurdish Syrian Democratic Forces, or SDF, to maintain its own "military bloc" if it integrated into the Syrian Defense Ministry, Reuters reported on Jan. 19. 

Syria: Damascus Rejects SDF-Led Proposal for Partial Military Integration

Mozambique

Economics

A spokesperson for Mozambican Finance Minister Carla Louveira said the government's efforts to restructure public debt would focus on domestic debt but added there was "nothing to stop" negotiations on foreign debt, Zitamar News reported on Jan. 20.

Mozambique: Government Seeking Debt Restructuring Amid Mounting Costs From Post-Election Unrest 

In a Jan. 20 executive order, new U.S. President Donald Trump resumed the process for the United States to withdraw from the World Health Organization.

U.S.: Trump Revives Withdrawal From World Health Organization

Panama

Panama's government on Jan. 20 launched an audit of Hong Kong-based Hutchison Ports, which operates ports at both ends of the country's canal, amid U.S. President Donald Trump's threats to retake the infrastructure, the Financial Times reported on Jan. 21.

Panama: New Audit Hints at Higher Scrutiny of Chinese Companies in Latin America

The world is connected, but even the broadest topics deserve an individual look. Below are our latest and most relevant politics analyses.

Below are our latest and most relevant politics analyses.

Sub-Saharan Africa

Asia-Pacific

Europe

Eurasia

Middle East and North Africa

South Asia

The Post-Apartheid Era Ends

Venezuela's Unraveling

The Saudi Survival Strategy

The Kurdish Struggle

Israel's Survival Strategy

Turkey's Resurgence

EU: Regional Blocs

Divided EU Foreign Policies

Brexit

Old Leaders in a New Africa

The U.S. and the Balance of Power

The Pulse of Political Islam

Broken Contracts in the Middle East

Russia's Internal Struggle

China in Transition

Southeast Asia: Burdened by Consensus

India's Own Worst Enemy

Pakistan: A Military With a Country

Assessments

Canada

Mexico

U.S. President Donald Trump holds up an executive order after signing it during an indoor inauguration parade at the Capital One Arena in Washington, D.C, on Jan. 20, 2025.

Energy

While some will face legal challenges, Trump's initial orders on immigration, trade, energy and climate issues lay the groundwork for his ambitious agenda.

What To Make of Trump's Day 1 Executive Orders

Israel

Palestinian Territories

Indonesia

Germany

France

The West Front of the U.S. Capitol on Jan. 17 in Washington. Donald Trump will be inaugurated as U.S. president on Jan. 20.

Israel-Hamas Conflict

A look at what the coming week will bring -- and a list of recommended RANE articles from the week that was.

The Weekly Rundown: The Gaza Ceasefire, Trump's Inauguration

South Sudan

Central African Republic

Democratic Republic of the Congo

Rwanda

A Rwandan soldier walks in front of a burned truck near Palma in Mozambique’s Cabo Delgado region on Sept. 22, 2021. 

Rwanda’s expanding troop deployments in other African countries seek to enhance its regional political and economic influence, but entail risks that could harm its operations and reputation.

Rwanda's Growing Military Influence in Africa: Opportunities and Risks

Ethiopia

Egypt

The Geopolitics of Water

In the coming decade, water scarcity will likely contribute to the erosion of Egypt's economic and political independence, including its ability to act unilaterally against other countries vying for water along the Nile basin.

The Geopolitics of Water: The Threat to Egypt's Independence

People celebrate while watching news coverage of the Israel-Hamas ceasefire in Khan Yunis in the southern Gaza Strip on Jan. 15, 2025.

While it may de-escalate the current war, the deal does not address all drivers of conflict between Hamas and Israel, nor does it outline a post-war strategy for Gaza, portending a gradual return to violence.

A Ceasefire Eases the Gaza War, but Leaves Embers To Ignite the Next One

Columns

On Geopolitics

Australia

Japan

Malaysia

Philippines

South Korea

Taiwan

U.S. President Joe Biden gestures to reporters after landing on the South Lawn of the White House on Sept. 22, 2024, in Washington, D.C. 

Trump's more aggressive and transactional approach could deliver quick wins for the U.S.'s position in the region, though it could also strain ties with key partners. 

Trump's Asia-Pacific Approach Will Test Biden's Gains

U.S.-China Relations

Snapshots

United Kingdom

The Bank of England is seen in London, the United Kingdom, on Sept. 19, 2024.

If market pressures persist, the Labour government may have to impose spending cuts or tax hikes that would derail its economic initiatives and make it all the more unpopular.

Market Instability Tests the U.K. Government's Fiscal Strategy

Trump's fiscal, deregulation and trade policies may initially boost U.S. economic growth, but potentially to the detriment of the rest of the world.

What To Expect From Trump's Economic Policies

Security personnel walk on a road with buses blocking an entrance gate to protect impeached South Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol from a possible second arrest in Seoul on Jan. 6. If Yoon is not arrested, the opposition could again seek to impeach the country's acting president due to his insufficient support for the arrest efforts, worsening foreign perceptions of political instability in South Korea.

The Weekly Rundown: Mozambique's President Takes Office, the U.K. Chancellor Visits China

Afghanistan

Pakistan

Taliban security personnel inspect a car damaged by Pakistani air strikes in Afghanistan's eastern Paktika province on Dec. 26, 2024. 

While the TTP may not completely follow through on its recent threats, its attacks in Pakistan are set to escalate.

Afghanistan and Pakistan's Deadlock Portends Worsened TTP Attacks

Ukraine

Russia

A compressor gas station of the Yamal–Europe pipeline is seen on Feb. 19, 2022, in Wloclawek, Poland. 

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

The expiration of the Russia-Ukraine transit deal underscores Europe's ongoing efforts to sever its reliance on Russian resources, with far-reaching implications for energy markets and geopolitics in the region and beyond. 

The End of Russian Gas via Ukraine Cements Europe's New Energy Landscape

Angola

Cote d'Ivoire

Ghana

Kenya

Nigeria

Argentina

Brazil

Ecuador

Algeria

Iran

Iraq

Jordan

Kuwait

Qatar

Saudi Arabia

Tunisia

United Arab Emirates

Yemen

Belarus

World map on a dark digital background representing global communication and global finances.

Cyber

RANE's Top 10 Risks for 2025 highlights high-impact, low-probability risks and trends from the annual forecast presented in more extreme terms.

RANE's Top 10 Risks for 2025

Politics

SITUATION REPORTS

India: Court Sentences Police Volunteer to Life Imprisonment for Rape and Murder of Junior Doctor

U.S.: Trump Rolls Back Biden-Era AI Executive Order

Myanmar: Ceasefire, Scam Crackdown Highlight Growing Regional Congruence

U.S.: Trump Seeks To Delay TikTok Divest-or-Ban Law via Executive Order

Syria: Damascus Rejects SDF-Led Proposal for Partial Military Integration

Mozambique: Government Seeking Debt Restructuring Amid Mounting Costs From Post-Election Unrest

U.S.: Trump Revives Withdrawal From World Health Organization

Panama: New Audit Hints at Higher Scrutiny of Chinese Companies in Latin America

Forecasts

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