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Politics

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Ukrainian Foreign Minister Dmytro Kuleba arrived in Beijing, China, for the first time since Russia's 2022 invasion of Ukraine for a three-day trip at the invitation of Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi, Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty reported on July 23.

Ukraine, China: Ukraine's Foreign Minister Visits China for First Time Since Start of War

United States

Denmark

Netherlands

Military & Security

The U.S., Dutch and Danish governments said the first F-16 fighter jets would be delivered to Ukraine and fly later this summer, The Wall Street Journal reported on July 10.

Ukraine: First F-16 Fighter Jets Will Fly Later This Summer

Hungary

Hungary’s Prime Minister Viktor Orban met with Russian President Vladimir Putin in Moscow to negotiate a peace deal in Ukraine, marking the first visit by the leader of an EU member state to Russia since April 2022, Politico reported on July 5.

Hungary, Russia: Orban Meets Putin in Moscow Amid EU Criticism

The U.S. Biden administration is preparing to lift a de facto ban on American military contractors deploying to Ukraine, CNN reported on June 25.

Ukraine, U.S.: Washington To Allow U.S. Military Contractors in Ukraine in 2024

Pentagon spokesman Major General Patrick Ryder confirmed that Ukraine can use U.S.-supplied weapons to strike Russian forces that are firing on Ukrainian troops anywhere across the border inside Russia, not just in the Belgorod region threatening Kharkiv, Reuters reported June 20.

Ukraine, Russia, U.S.: U.S. Authorizes Ukraine to Target Russian Forces Beyond the Border

Germany

France

Belgium

Economics

Energy

European Union member states approved the bloc's 14th package of sanctions against Russia over its invasion of Ukraine, including a ban on the transshipment of Russian liquefied natural gas (LNG) from EU ports to third countries, sanctions targeting new LNG projects in Russia, a clause allowing EU members Sweden and Finland to cancel LNG contracts with Russia and sanctions on Russia's so-called shadow fleet of tankers, Reuters reported June 20.

EU, Russia: EU Approves 14th Sanctions Package Against Russia, Including First-Ever Restrictions on LNG

Cyber

Prosecutors at the International Criminal Court are investigating whether Russian cyberattacks against Ukrainian civilian infrastructure could constitute possible war crimes, Reuters reported June 14.

Global: International Criminal Court Considers Cyberattacks as War Crimes in Ukraine

Switzerland

Seventy-eight of  91 of the participating countries and organizations signed the final communique of Ukraine's Peace Summit in Switzerland, Reuters reported June 17. 

Ukraine, Russia: Peace Summit Highlights Western War Fatigue, Ukraine's Limited Support in Global South

Assessments

Kenya

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Venezuela

Iran

Israel

Palestinian Territories

Saudi Arabia

Europe

U.S. President Joe Biden speaks during a press conference at the 75th NATO Summit in Washington, D.C., on July 11, 2024. 

Israel-Hamas Conflict

Biden's exit from the U.S. presidential race will free him to pursue more aggressive action against Russia over Ukraine and increase pressure on Israel to end its war with Hamas. 

What To Expect from Biden's Foreign Policy Farewell Tour

U.S.-China Relations

U.S.-Iran Relations

Snapshots

U.S. President Joe Biden on Nov. 1, 2023, in Washington.

U.S. President Joe Biden's withdrawal from the presidential race and endorsement of Vice President Kamala Harris make her the likely Democratic candidate. While any Democratic president would face significant obstacles in enacting policy due to legislative and judicial constraints, foreign policy positions would remain largely aligned with Biden's, particularly on China, Russia and NATO. 

What Biden's Withdrawal Means for the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election

Global Elections

U.S. President Joe Biden meets with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky on the sidelines of the NATO summit in Washington D.C. on July 11, 2024.

The Western alliance's failure to provide Ukraine with decisive security guarantees and material support will likely enable Russia to maintain its war until Kyiv enters talks on Moscow's terms. 

The NATO Summit Leaves Ukraine Wanting

Media

Forecast Webcast

Environment, Science & Technology

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Join our analysts for this webcast recording exploring key topics identified in RANE's 2024 Third-Quarter Geopolitical Forecast.

2024 Third-Quarter Geopolitical Forecast Webcast

Australia

Malaysia

New Zealand

President Cyril Ramaphosa is sworn in as member of parliament during the first sitting of the new South African parliament on June 14 in Cape Town, South Africa. Ramaphosa will be inaugurated to a second term in a ceremony scheduled to take place June 19 in Pretoria.

A look at what the coming week will bring -- and a list of recommended RANE articles from the week that was.

The Weekly Rundown: Ukraine's Peace Summit, South Africa's Inauguration

Podcasts

How might this trend of sabotage incidents evolve?

Essential Geopolitics: Global Implications of Russia's Sabotage Campaign

Ukrainian soldiers fire at a Russian position in Ukraine's Kharkiv region on April 21, 2024. 

While initially intended to draw Ukrainian resources away from the Donbas region, Russia's new front in the northeastern Kharkiv region will likely become core to Moscow's war efforts in 2025.

Russia's New Front in Kharkiv Raises the Stakes for Ukraine and the West

Guests attend a naming ceremony for the Valentin Pikul black class tanker of Russia's Rosneft oil company on Sept. 11, 2023, in Bolshoi Kamen, outside of Vladivostok, Russia. 

Russia's current economic challenges are unlikely to prompt Moscow to de-escalate in Ukraine this year or next, though a drop in oil revenues may eventually combine with other factors to change its calculations in the long term.

Reassessing Russia's Ability To Finance Its War in Ukraine

Sub-Saharan Africa

Americas

Middle East and North Africa

Asia-Pacific

Eurasia

South Asia

Join our analysts for this webcast recording exploring key topics identified in RANE's 2024 Second-Quarter Geopolitical Forecast.

2024 Second-Quarter Geopolitical Forecast Webcast

First-year cadets of the Military Institute of the Taras Shevchenko National University take their oaths on Sept. 8, 2023, in Kyiv, Ukraine.

While the law will bolster Kyiv's ability to continue resisting Russia's invasion, it carries political risks and will not let Ukraine deal a decisive blow against Russia.

What Ukraine's Mobilization Law Will Mean for the War With Russia

Why is Russia trying to tie the attack to Ukraine?

Essential Geopolitics: Implications of the Moscow Terrorist Attack

Afghanistan

Emergency services vehicles are seen outside the burning Crocus City Hall concert hall following a shooting incident in Krasnogorsk, outside Moscow, Russia, on March 22, 2024. 

While the attack was likely conducted by Islamist extremists or North Caucasian groups, the Kremlin will nonetheless use the mass casualty incident to further villainize Ukraine and the West, and expand its war efforts against Kyiv.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

SITUATION REPORTS

Ukraine, China: Ukraine's Foreign Minister Visits China for First Time Since Start of War

Ukraine: First F-16 Fighter Jets Will Fly Later This Summer

Hungary, Russia: Orban Meets Putin in Moscow Amid EU Criticism

Ukraine, U.S.: Washington To Allow U.S. Military Contractors in Ukraine in 2024

Ukraine, Russia, U.S.: U.S. Authorizes Ukraine to Target Russian Forces Beyond the Border

EU, Russia: EU Approves 14th Sanctions Package Against Russia, Including First-Ever Restrictions on LNG

Global: International Criminal Court Considers Cyberattacks as War Crimes in Ukraine

Ukraine, Russia: Peace Summit Highlights Western War Fatigue, Ukraine's Limited Support in Global South

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