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On GeopoliticsMay 15, 2025
Trump's Tariffs Will Hit Developing Economies Hard

For export-reliant developing countries that were already facing financial distress, the global uncertainty created by Trump's sweeping tariffs will sharply increase economic risks, as well as introduce political instability risks.

By Markus Jaeger
A U.S. Marine Corps F-35B aircraft over the North Sea having taken off from RAF Fairford on July 1, 2016 in Gloucestershire, England.
On GeopoliticsMay 9, 2025
Washington Bumps up Against the Limits of Airpower in the Middle East

The tactic designed to allow intervention without deepening withdrawalism will instead do the opposite, and Washington will face more and more calls to retrench from the Middle East.

By Ryan Bohl
The allure of implementing a sphere of influence model is more likely to disappoint those who may argue that it would create more stability and security.
On GeopoliticsMay 7, 2025
The Temptations of a Sphere-of-Influence Model of International Relations

The allure of implementing a sphere of influence model is more likely to disappoint those who may argue that it would create more stability and security.

By Sam Lichtenstein
A Gabonese brigade participates in a training exercise as part of a military program linked to the Franco-Gabonese partnership at the French military base Camp de Gaulle in Libreville on March 19, 2025.
On GeopoliticsMay 1, 2025
France, Africa and the Future, Part 2: The Age of Multi-Alignment
A picture released on July 12, 1963, of then-French President Gen. Charles de Gaulle (2L) and Jacques Foccart (L) greeting African, Malagasy and French overseas territories veterans arriving in Paris for French Bastille Day celebrations.
On GeopoliticsApr 30, 2025
France, Africa and the Future, Part 1: A New Balance of Power
By Rémi Dodd
A Lebanese flag painted on a damaged building in the village of Meiss El-Jabal in southern Lebanon is seen from a position on the Israeli side of the border on Jan. 23, 2025, in northern Israel.
On GeopoliticsApr 21, 2025
Hezbollah's Future in Lebanon

Hezbollah's military losses and the formation of Lebanon's new government have opened the door to a new chapter in Lebanese history, although external pressure will complicate the country's next steps.

By Freddy Khoueiry
A crowd of men in 1930 wearing jackets and hats.
On GeopoliticsApr 18, 2025
Lessons From the 1930s on Avoiding a Second Great Depression
By Markus Jaeger
NATO military forces during static display after the Steadfast Dart 2025 military exercises at the Smardan Training Area in Smardan, Romania, on Feb. 19, 2025.
On GeopoliticsApr 11, 2025
The Future of Transatlantic Security Cooperation, Part 2: The View From Europe

Europe is increasingly focused on achieving greater strategic autonomy in defense, but internal divisions and material constraints will plague this quest, even as the United States' role on the Continent continues to shrink, meaning NATO will likely remain the cornerstone of Europe’s security architecture.

By Matteo Ilardo
Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) moments after the Closing Bell and the start of U.S. President Donald Trump's news conference on tariffs on April 2, 2025.
On GeopoliticsApr 7, 2025
The Perils and Pitfalls of Trump's Trade Strategy

Rather than sparking a manufacturing renaissance, Trump's tariff policy threatens to undermine U.S. economic competitiveness for years to come.

By Matthew Bey
Members of the Spanish and Bulgarian armed forces during the NATO exercise Steadfast Dart on Feb. 13, 2025, in Tsrancha, Bulgaria.
On GeopoliticsApr 2, 2025
The Future of Transatlantic Security Cooperation, Part 1: The View From Washington

Any U.S. retrenchment away from Europe will more likely be gradual, shaped by strategic realities, shared interests and material constraints, but this transition will still carry profound military, economic and societal implications that will deeply reshape the Continent's security landscape and accelerate the transition to a truly multipolar world.

By Matteo Ilardo
U.S. President Donald Trump speaks from the Oval Office on March 7, 2025, after announcing that tariffs could be imposed on Canadian dairy and lumber products within days.
On GeopoliticsMar 17, 2025
Trump's Emerging Trade Doctrine

The expanding scope of Trump's trade wars, coupled with the whiplash of tariffs being enacted and then suspended, begs the question: what is driving this strategy and what, if anything, will constrain it?

By Matthew Bey
A digital map illustration of Russia.
On GeopoliticsMar 6, 2025
The Rationale and Risks of Trump's Push to Reengage With Russia
By Matthew Orr
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