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On Geopolitics

A Lebanese flag painted on a damaged building in the village of Meiss El-Jabal in southern Lebanon is seen from a position on the Israeli side of the border on Jan. 23, 2025, in northern Israel.
On GeopoliticsApr 21, 2025
Hezbollah's Future in Lebanon

Hezbollah's military losses and the formation of Lebanon's new government have opened the door to a new chapter in Lebanese history, although external pressure will complicate the country's next steps.

A crowd of men in 1930 wearing jackets and hats.
On GeopoliticsApr 18, 2025
Lessons From the 1930s on Avoiding a Second Great Depression

U.S. tariffs are throwing economies across the globe into disarray, just as they did in 1930, but lessons from the past could keep the world from tipping into a second Great Depression.

NATO military forces during static display after the Steadfast Dart 2025 military exercises at the Smardan Training Area in Smardan, Romania, on Feb. 19, 2025.
On GeopoliticsApr 11, 2025
The Future of Transatlantic Security Cooperation, Part 2: The View From Europe

Europe is increasingly focused on achieving greater strategic autonomy in defense, but internal divisions and material constraints will plague this quest, even as the United States' role on the Continent continues to shrink, meaning NATO will likely remain the cornerstone of Europe’s security architecture.

Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) moments after the Closing Bell and the start of U.S. President Donald Trump's news conference on tariffs on April 2, 2025.
On GeopoliticsApr 7, 2025
The Perils and Pitfalls of Trump's Trade Strategy
Members of the Spanish and Bulgarian armed forces during the NATO exercise Steadfast Dart on Feb. 13, 2025, in Tsrancha, Bulgaria.
On GeopoliticsApr 2, 2025
The Future of Transatlantic Security Cooperation, Part 1: The View From Washington
U.S. President Donald Trump speaks from the Oval Office on March 7, 2025, after announcing that tariffs could be imposed on Canadian dairy and lumber products within days.
On GeopoliticsMar 17, 2025
Trump's Emerging Trade Doctrine

The expanding scope of Trump's trade wars, coupled with the whiplash of tariffs being enacted and then suspended, begs the question: what is driving this strategy and what, if anything, will constrain it?

A digital map illustration of Russia.
On GeopoliticsMar 6, 2025
The Rationale and Risks of Trump's Push to Reengage With Russia
A map of the United States from 1897.
On GeopoliticsMar 3, 2025
What a Revisionist U.S. Foreign Policy Could Mean for the World

While a revisionist America could lead to a more stable world order, it would be much more likely to lead to greater uncertainty, volatility, and conflict.

Crowds of Palestinians gather to receive food outside a U.N. aid distribution center in the Gazan city of Deir al-Balah on Nov. 2, 2024.
On GeopoliticsFeb 19, 2025
Trump's Gaza Plan Risks Further Eroding Global Constraints on Population Removals

The displacement of any Palestinians from the Gaza Strip will further erode post-World War II norms against population transfers, laying the groundwork for future global conflicts.

Syria’s de-facto leader Ahmad al-Sharaa addresses a crowd at a mosque in Damascus on Dec. 8, 2024.
On GeopoliticsJan 31, 2025
Syria's Future: Islamist Republic, Turkish Client State, or Jihadist Stronghold?

While Syrians will drive their country's destiny, external influence from regional and global powers could determine what kind of government replaces the deposed Assad regime.

U.S. President Joe Biden gestures to reporters after landing on the South Lawn of the White House on Sept. 22, 2024, in Washington, D.C.
On GeopoliticsJan 15, 2025
Trump's Asia-Pacific Approach Will Test Biden's Gains

Trump's more aggressive and transactional approach could deliver quick wins for the U.S.'s position in the region, though it could also strain ties with key partners.

A compressor gas station of the Yamal–Europe pipeline is seen on Feb. 19, 2022, in Wloclawek, Poland.
On GeopoliticsJan 10, 2025
The End of Russian Gas via Ukraine Cements Europe's New Energy Landscape
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