United States

Israel

Palestinian Territories

Cyber

Economics

Environment, Science & Technology

Science & Technology

Pro-Palestinian hacktivist group BlackMeta claimed responsibility for a large-scale distributed denial of service, or DDoS, attack on the Internet Archive's "Wayback Machine" that lasted five hours, and the group implied plans to carry out another attack on Oct. 10, according to Oct. 9 posts on its X account.

U.S.: Pro-Palestinian Hackers Claim DDoS Attack on Internet Archive Amid Data Breach, Website Defacement

Mexico

China

Politics

The newly inaugurated administration of Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum will seek to strengthen the domestic manufacturing sector by asking U.S. vehicle and semiconductor producers and companies in the electronics and aerospace sectors to replace components made in China and Southeast Asia with parts from Mexico, The Wall Street Journal reported on Oct. 8.

Mexico: Government Hints at Import Substitution To Boost Investment Amid Supply Chain Derisking Efforts

The U.S. Justice Department made broad recommendations for remedying the ongoing antitrust case involving Google’s search engine and its business practices and said it was "considering behavioral and structural remedies," indicating that the department was considering pursuing a breakup in court, NPR reported on Oct. 9.

U.S.: DOJ Considers Breakup of Google in Antitrust Case

Iran

Energy

Military & Security

Iran warned that it would respond if Gulf Arab countries allowed the United States to use their airspace or military bases against Iran, Reuters reported on Oct. 8, a day before Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi traveled to Saudi Arabia to speak with Saudi officials.

Iran: Tehran Warns Against the U.S. Using Gulf Territory, Airspace To Attack Iran

The International Longshoremen's Association union, or ILA, reached a deal with employers to suspend the strike at U.S. East and Gulf Coast ports to extend the current contract through Jan. 15, 2025, in order to spend more time negotiating disputed issues, The Washington Post reported on Oct. 3.

U.S.: Port Strike Suspended After Three Days

South Korea

South Korea and the United States concluded a 12th Special Measures Agreement on cost-sharing for U.S. Forces Korea, or USFK, through 2030, Yonhap News Agency reported on Oct. 4.

South Korea, U.S.: Cost-Sharing Deal on U.S. Forces Korea Stokes Trump Concerns

Colombia

Colombia's Vice Minister of Foreign Affairs Jorge Rojas announced the country will join China's Belt and Road Initiative, or BRI, once both parties discuss relevant details, El Pais reported on Oct. 4.

Colombia: Chinese Investments To Increase as Bogota Announces Plan To Join BRI

Mauritius

United Kingdom

The United Kingdom and Mauritius reached an agreement whereby London would transfer sovereignty of the Chagos Islands, or British Indian Ocean Territories, to Mauritius but retain control for 99 years over military facilities on Diego Garcia island, the U.K. government announced Oct. 3. 

Mauritius, U.K.: U.K. to Cede Chagos Islands to Mauritius, Retain Military Base 

Assessments

India

Pakistan

U.S.-Iran Relations

A look at what the coming week will bring -- and a list of recommended RANE articles from the week that was.

The Weekly Rundown: A Shanghai Cooperation Organization Meeting, Chinese Financial Support Measures

Media

Podcasts

Global Elections

Social Issues

What levels of unrest are we likely to see throughout 2024 and beyond?

Essential Geopolitics: The Risk of U.S. Political Unrest Leading up to Elections

Columns

On Geopolitics

Iraq

Lebanon

Syria

Yemen

An Israeli tank Aug. 7, 2024, in southern Israel along the border with the Gaza Strip. Washington may change the regional dynamics substantially before the next Oct. 7; if not, we will likely be marking a second anniversary of regional conflict next year. 

Israel-Hamas Conflict

Washington may change the regional dynamics substantially before the next Oct. 7; if not, we will likely be marking a second anniversary of regional conflict next year.

Will War in the Middle East Last Another Year?

Tracking U.S. Naval Power

This map shows the approximate locations of U.S. Carrier Strike Groups and Amphibious Ready Groups.

U.S. Naval Update Map: Oct. 10, 2024

Mozambique

Brazil

Tunisia

Germany

Ukraine

A man in Maputo walks past a wall covered with electoral posters in support of Daniel Chapo, the ruling party candidate in Mozambique’s presidential election, on Oct. 4, 2024. 

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

The Weekly Rundown: Biden Visits Germany as Mozambique, Tunisia and Brazil Hold Elections

U.S. Naval Update Map: Oct. 3, 2024

A topographic map of Iran.

The exposure of its proxy strategy's shortcomings over the past year will force Iran to adapt its national security strategy to compensate.

Iran Grapples With a Weakened Axis of Resistance

Japan

Austria

Supporters of the far-right Freedom Party of Austria (FPO) wave flags during an election rally in Vienna, Austria, on Sept. 27, 2024. 

The Weekly Rundown: Austrian Elections and a U.S. Port Workers Strike

Snapshots

The Garden City Terminal at the Port of Savannah in Savannah, Georgia, is seen on Nov. 12, 2021.

With the Sept. 30 deadline for a compromise fast approaching and no talks scheduled between the disputing parties, workers at East and Gulf coast ports appear likely to stage a strike that could severely disrupt U.S. exports and imports.

In the U.S., a Looming Port Strike Risks Disrupting Trade Ahead of the Holidays

U.S. Naval Update Map: Sept. 26, 2024

House and Senate elections will help decide whether the next president will need to rely largely on executive power to implement policy, shaping his or domestic policy.

2024 Elections: The United States

France

Forecast Webcast

Join our analysts for this webcast recording exploring key topics identified in RANE's 2024 Fourth-Quarter Geopolitical Forecast.

2024 Fourth-Quarter Geopolitical Forecast Webcast

The United States encompasses territory spanning from the Arctic Circle and Central Pacific to the Gulf of Mexico and the North Atlantic.    The Greater Mississippi Basin is the United States' core and serves as the underpinning of its role as a global superpower.    The basin hosts an extensive network of navigable rivers that overlay the world's largest contiguous piece of arable land. This naturally interconnected river system facilitated integration among settlers and allowed for cheap transport of goods, providing the United States with the ability to feed itself efficiently and rapidly build up industry and capital to expand west. The Midwestern core gave early America strategic depth, while an expanding U.S. coastline, naturally indented with deep harbors, provided its opening to the world.    After reaching the Pacific coast in the mid-19th century, the United States found itself insulated by two oceans. On the continent itself, geography again has worked in the country's favor: lakes to the north and deserts to the south insulate the United States' population centers, with both Canada and Mexico facing too many natural constraints of their own to seriously rival it.    This unparalleled level of wealth and protection gives the United States options that few to no countries can claim. For one, the United States has used its wealth and security to build up the world's largest navy. Control of the world's major sea-lanes gives the United States the power to facilitate or deny trade to allies or rivals of the day. The onus therefore is on the United States to carefully manage its engagements abroad and build up strategic allies to protect its overseas interests and preserve its strength at home. 

SITUATION REPORTS

U.S.: Pro-Palestinian Hackers Claim DDoS Attack on Internet Archive Amid Data Breach, Website Defacement

Mexico: Government Hints at Import Substitution To Boost Investment Amid Supply Chain Derisking Efforts

U.S.: DOJ Considers Breakup of Google in Antitrust Case

Iran: Tehran Warns Against the U.S. Using Gulf Territory, Airspace To Attack Iran

U.S.: Port Strike Suspended After Three Days

South Korea, U.S.: Cost-Sharing Deal on U.S. Forces Korea Stokes Trump Concerns

Colombia: Chinese Investments To Increase as Bogota Announces Plan To Join BRI

Mauritius, U.K.: U.K. to Cede Chagos Islands to Mauritius, Retain Military Base

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