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Afghanistan-Pakistan cross-border clashes continued on March 1 as the Taliban in the capital, Kabul, reported firing at Pakistani jets that purportedly attempted to target Bagram Air Base, though consequent damage and casualties remain unclear, Reuters reported the same day.

Afghanistan, Pakistan: Afghanistan-Pakistan Clashes Persist as Conflict Erupts in Neighboring Iran

Pakistani officials said on Feb. 22 that the country's military launched airstrikes overnight Feb. 21 targeting seven "terrorist camps and hideouts" linked to Tehrik-i-Taliban Pakistan and Islamic State Khorasan Province in the eastern Afghan provinces of Nangarhar, Paktika and Khost, killing at least 70-80 militants, Dawn reported on Feb. 22. 

Pakistan, Afghanistan: Pakistan Launches Latest Cross-Border Strikes in Retaliation for Militant Attacks

Economics

Pakistan's Ministry of Commerce is reviewing waiver requests to allow Afghan importers to reexport over 6,500 containers currently stranded at two ports in Karachi, Pakistan, and incurring demurrage fees due to the protracted closure of the Afghanistan-Pakistan border, Dawn reported on Jan. 14. 

Afghanistan, Pakistan: Border Closure Prompts Requests for Reexport of Stranded Cargo

Australia

Australia imposed financial sanctions and a travel ban on Afghanistan's minister of virtue and vice, minister of higher education, minister of justice and chief justice for alleged complicity in oppressing women and girls as well as minority groups in Afghanistan, among other offenses, according to a statement Australia's Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade released on Dec. 6. 

Australia, Afghanistan: Australia Sanctions Afghan Taliban Officials Over Alleged Human Rights Concerns

Afghan Taliban spokesman Zabihullah Mujahid said the group would provide a "necessary response" at the "appropriate time" after accusing Pakistan of striking Khost province and executing raids in Kunar and Paktika provinces in Afghanistan around midnight Nov. 25, actions Mujahid claimed killed at least nine civilians and wounded four others, Ariana News reported Nov. 25.

Afghanistan, Pakistan: Tensions Resurge After Afghan Taliban Accuses Pakistan of Retaliatory Strikes

India

Indian authorities formally characterized the Nov. 10 Delhi blast as a "terror incident," and local media indicated security agencies were probing possible connections between the blast and a recently busted terrorist cell allegedly tied to the Pakistan-linked Jaish-e-Mohammed militant group, Reuters reported on Nov. 13.

India, Pakistan: Governments Release More Information About Recent Explosions

Afghan and Pakistani delegations met in Istanbul for a third day of talks on Oct. 27 in pursuit of a more sustained cessation of hostilities, Reuters reported on Oct. 27. 

Afghanistan, Pakistan: Pakistani Military Repels Cross-Border Militants Amid Ceasefire Talks

Following Afghanistan and Pakistan's most intense clashes in years, the two sides agreed to a more permanent ceasefire during talks in Doha mediated by Turkey and Qatar, Reuters reported on Oct. 19.

Afghanistan, Pakistan: Kabul, Islamabad Agree to More Permanent Ceasefire Following Doha Talks

Snapshots

A Taliban security personnel operating an anti-aircraft gun keeps watch for Pakistani airstrikes near the Torkham border crossing between Afghanistan and Pakistan on Feb. 27 in in Nangarhar province, Afghanistan. The ongoing escalation marks a shift into overt interstate conflict, though the most likely near-term trajectory is a sustained cycle of cross-border strikes and retaliation.

The ongoing escalation marks a shift into overt interstate conflict, though the most likely near-term trajectory is a sustained cycle of cross-border strikes and retaliation.

Afghan-Pakistan Tensions Erupt Into Conflict

Assessments

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Democratic Republic of the Congo

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Niger

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Flight routes.

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Environment, Science & Technology

Science & Technology

As 2026 approaches, we look back at the previous year and consider the top five patterns and trends as measured by geopolitical impact.

2025: A Geopolitical Review

Sub-Saharan Africa

Mozambique

Republic of the Congo

Somalia

A destroyed church is seen in Mosul, Iraq.

The Islamic State's main threat to the West in 2026 will remain its ability to inspire lone-actor violence, though in the coming years the group's African, Afghan and Syrian branches may become increasingly capable of directing mass casualty attacks in Western countries.

The Islamic State's Enduring Threat to the West

Afghan men gather in support of the Taliban government during a rally in Khost, Afghanistan, on Oct. 13, 2025, amid heavy cross-border clashes with Pakistan.

Further violence is likely in the coming weeks and potentially longer, as the two countries' entrenched disputes regarding their shared border and Tehreek-e-Taliban Pakistan will challenge international peace efforts.

Deadly Border Clashes Sharply Escalate Afghanistan-Pakistan Tensions

Germany

Uzbekistan

Tajikistan

The flag of Afghanistan sits on the Afghan embassy in Moscow on July 4, 2025. 

As Afghanistan's neighbors deepen ties with the Taliban and Western states remain cautious, a widening diplomatic divide threatens to complicate efforts to address the country's worsening crises and regional security risks.

The Growing International Divide Over Taliban Ties Will Risk Regional Stability

Ethiopia

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Americas

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Colombia

Cuba

Haiti

Nicaragua

Iraq

Jordan

North Macedonia

Bosnia and Herzegovina

Serbia

Albania

Kosovo

South Asia

Bangladesh

The lobby of the headquarters for the U.S. Agency for International Development is seen on Feb. 3, 2025, in Washington, D.C. 

Social Issues

Cuts to U.S.-funded humanitarian and development programs could worsen global health outcomes, destabilize security environments, accelerate democratic backsliding, and create opportunities for rival powers to expand their influence.

The Global Implications of Trump's Foreign Aid Cuts

Taliban security personnel inspect a car damaged by Pakistani air strikes in Afghanistan's eastern Paktika province on Dec. 26, 2024. 

While the TTP may not completely follow through on its recent threats, its attacks in Pakistan are set to escalate.

Afghanistan and Pakistan's Deadlock Portends Worsened TTP Attacks

France

Turkmenistan

Kazakhstan

Kyrgyzstan

The Geopolitics of Water

Energy

The escalating impacts of climate change and water scarcity will inflame tensions between Central Asian countries, raising the risk of violent state conflict in the coming decades. 

The Geopolitics of Water: The Looming Threat of Central Asian 'Water Wars'

A man looks at damage from a Balochistan Liberation Army attack Jan. 30 in central Bolan district in Balochistan province, Pakistan. Economic and political constraints will limit the scale and efficacy of Pakistan's latest counterterrorism campaign, sustaining the threat of militant attacks and delays to the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor despite likely efforts to bolster foreigners' security and engagement with key foreign stakeholders.

Economic and political constraints will limit the scale and efficacy of Pakistan's latest counterterrorism campaign, sustaining the threat of militant attacks and delays to the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor despite likely efforts to bolster foreigners' security and engagement with key foreign stakeholders.

The Implications of Pakistan's Renewed Counterterrorism Campaign

A delegation of Afghan Taliban officials walks down a hotel lobby in Doha, Qatar, in August 2021. 

A combination of security considerations and economic opportunities will continue to ease the Afghan Taliban's international isolation in the years ahead, but many countries will remain wary of close relations with the group or its formal recognition.

The Afghan Taliban's International Isolation Appears To Be Easing

Emergency services vehicles are seen outside the burning Crocus City Hall concert hall following a shooting incident in Krasnogorsk, outside Moscow, Russia, on March 22, 2024. 

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

While the attack was likely conducted by Islamist extremists or North Caucasian groups, the Kremlin will nonetheless use the mass casualty incident to further villainize Ukraine and the West, and expand its war efforts against Kyiv.

What To Make of the Deadly Terrorist Attack in Moscow

Afghan refugees arrive at the Chaman border crossing in Pakistan before departing for Afghanistan on Nov. 4, 2023. 

Islamabad's push to send Afghan migrants back home will likely worsen security threats in Pakistan, while further destabilizing Afghanistan and potentially the broader region.

The Implications of Pakistan's Deportation Drive and New Cross-Border Travel Policy

<p>Afghanistan is a landlocked country in South Asia bordering China, Pakistan, Iran, Tajikistan, Uzbekistan and Turkmenistan. Spanning over 652,000 square miles, the majority-Muslim country&#39;s geography can be divided into the highlands, the northern plains and the southwestern plateau. Mountains are Afghanistan&#39;s dominant geographic feature, with the Hindu Kush range running at a southwestern angle and roughly dividing the country in half. The four most important cities are the capital Kabul in the east, Kandahar in the south, Herat in the west, and Mazar-i-Sharif in the north. Because of its location, the country functions as a bridge between energy-rich Central Asia and energy-deficient South Asia. Afghanistan&#39;s primary geographic challenge is resisting the intervention of outside powers while also maintaining authority over a mostly rural society spread across a rugged landscape. Afghanistan&#39;s location at the crossroads of the Middle East, Central Asia and the Indian subcontinent has historically invited external actors, resulting in a country containing diverse languages, cultures and ethnicities. Indeed, Afghan society includes significant populations of Pashtun, Tajiks, Turkmens, Uzbeks and Hazaras. Each of these groups share populations in a neighboring country, encouraging external involvement. The borders of modern-day Afghanistan were drawn during the 19th century to carve out a space between the British and Russian empires. Afghanistan&#39;s most contentious boundary is with Pakistan and is called the Durand Line. Afghanistan disputes the border, claiming that its true boundary should absorb Pakistan&#39;s Pashtun-majority region. This fuels the antagonism between the two countries and plays a role in Afghanistan&#39;s broader challenge of asserting sovereignty as outside actors try to advance their own interests.</p>

SITUATION REPORTS

Afghanistan, Pakistan: Afghanistan-Pakistan Clashes Persist as Conflict Erupts in Neighboring Iran

Pakistan, Afghanistan: Pakistan Launches Latest Cross-Border Strikes in Retaliation for Militant Attacks

Afghanistan, Pakistan: Border Closure Prompts Requests for Reexport of Stranded Cargo

Australia, Afghanistan: Australia Sanctions Afghan Taliban Officials Over Alleged Human Rights Concerns

Afghanistan, Pakistan: Tensions Resurge After Afghan Taliban Accuses Pakistan of Retaliatory Strikes

India, Pakistan: Governments Release More Information About Recent Explosions

Afghanistan, Pakistan: Pakistani Military Repels Cross-Border Militants Amid Ceasefire Talks

Afghanistan, Pakistan: Kabul, Islamabad Agree to More Permanent Ceasefire Following Doha Talks

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