Mozambique

Economics

Energy

Politics

Mozambique has faced escalating fuel shortages since the end of July, notably in the capital, Maputo, and its suburb, Matola, Club of Mozambique reported on Aug. 5. 

Mozambique: Latest Fuel Shortages Highlight Foreign Currency Woes, Distributors' Hurdles

Saudi Arabia

Yemen

Military & Security

A spokesperson for Yemen's Houthi rebels threatened to close off "all access routes" for Saudi oil exports by increasingly targeting vessels in the northern Red Sea, The New York Times reported on Aug. 5.

Yemen: Houthis Threaten To Increasingly Target Vessels in the Northern Red Sea

Ukraine

Russia

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Ukrainian Energy Minister Denys Shmyhal said in an Aug. 3 interview with Politico that Kyiv hoped refinery strikes and Western sanctions would force Russia to end the war this fall, but he warned that Moscow would otherwise resume large-scale attacks on Ukraine's energy, water and sewage infrastructure.

Ukraine, Russia: Energy Deficit Will Deepen Ukraine's Winter Vulnerability

Iran

Iraq

Kuwait

OPEC+ agreed on Aug. 2 to boost production quotas by 188,000 barrels per day in September, fully unwinding the bloc's 2023 voluntary production cuts.

OPEC+: Bloc Unwinds Final Voluntary Production Cuts

South Africa

South African President Cyril Ramaphosa endorsed a report from the Eskom Restructuring Task Team outlining plans to establish an independent Transmission System Operator, or TSO, and to strengthen the independence of the state-owned National Transmission Company of South Africa from Eskom, Engineering News reported on July 31. 

South Africa: Government Advancing Power Sector Reforms Agenda

Europe

Environment, Science & Technology

Record drought conditions and extreme heat are disrupting power generation and river transport across Europe, Reuters reported on July 30.

Europe: Record Drought Forces Nuclear Shutdowns, Strains River Transport

United States

Egypt

The United States conducted airstrikes overnight on Iranian territory for the first time in days, striking targets around southern Iran, including Kish Island, Qeshm Island and Bandar Abbas, Al Jazeera reported on July 30.

U.S., Iran: U.S. Resumes Limited Airstrikes on Iran

U.S.-Iran Relations

Papua New Guinea

Taiwan

A senior Taiwan foreign ministry official announced on July 29 that the state-owned CPC Corp had halted spot market purchases of liquefied natural gas (LNG) from Papua New Guinea, the Taipei Times reported. 

Taiwan, Papua New Guinea: Taipei Halts LNG Purchases Over Trade Office Row

The world is connected, but even the broadest topics deserve an individual look. Below are our latest and most relevant energy analyses.

Below are our latest and most relevant energy analyses.

Sub-Saharan Africa

Americas

Asia-Pacific

Eurasia

Middle East and North Africa

South Asia

The Libyan Civil War

The Fight Against the Islamic State

The Politics of Pipelines

_Energy

Nigeria: Obstacles to Prosperity

The Battle for Mosul

A Crude Recovery

Broken Contracts in the Middle East

Russia's Internal Struggle

East African Integration

Assessments

People in Sanaa, Yemen, stand under a large screen broadcasting Houthi-run coastguard forces patrolling in the Red Sea on March 13, 2026.

If economic concessions and limited military action fail to halt the Houthis' Red Sea blockade, the Saudis may pursue ground operations in Yemen, risking Iranian strikes and a renewed military quagmire.

Escalating Houthi Attacks Force Saudi Arabia To Shift Its Strategy

Greenland

China

Denmark

The Geopolitics of Natural Resources

Greenland's large deposits of critical minerals make the island one of the few potential alternatives to Chinese supply chains, but material constraints and diplomatic disputes will obstruct large-scale production.

The West's Quest To Exploit Greenland's Critical Minerals

Bangladesh

Garment workers sew clothes at a textile factory in Dhaka, Bangladesh, on Dec. 29, 2024. 

The government's efforts to secure U.S. tariff exemptions and external financial aid will have only a modest impact without addressing the ready-made garment sector's energy shortages and other structural challenges.

The Outlook for Bangladesh's Garment Sector Under U.S. Tariffs

Snapshots

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky (center) chats with U.S. senators before heading to a closed-door meeting at the U.S. Capitol on July 28, 2026. 

If enacted, the proposed bill would give Trump broad new authority to impose tariffs on major Russian oil buyers, but selective enforcement means it would unlikely compel Russia to end its war in Ukraine.

New U.S. Sanctions Bill Unlikely To Impact Russia's Oil Exports or War Strategy

Media

Podcasts

Trace the hidden chain reaction from a closed Strait of Hormuz to a local bakery line, and discover how a Middle East energy shock can quietly turn into a global food crisis.

The Decision Advantage: The Foreseen Effects of the Strait of Hormuz Closure

Damaged structures are seen at the site of a U.S.-Saudi strike against Iran-backed militias in Bartalla, northern Iraq, on July 29, 2026. 

As the conflict picks back up, Trump must decide whether to offer Iran major concessions, which would alienate hawkish Republicans at home, or escalate military operations at the risk of reigniting a broader regional war.

Trump Once Again Weighs His Options Against Iran

Brunei Darussalam

Cambodia

Timor-Leste

Indonesia

Laos

Malaysia

Myanmar

Philippines

Singapore

Thailand

Vietnam

Philippine Foreign Secretary Theresa Lazaro (center) and other leaders leave after a group photo session on the sidelines of the ASEAN Foreign Ministers' Meeting in Manila on July 24, 2026.

The meetings in Manila produced talks but no immediate collective action on critical regional issues like the Iran war's energy shock, intensifying South China Sea tensions and the Myanmar civil war.

ASEAN Meetings Make Little Headway on Pressing Energy and Security Issues

Israel

Yemeni protesters take part in a demonstration held to send a message of defiance against the continued siege and any military escalation involving Saudi forces against Houthi-controlled northern Yemen on July 17. 

Israel-Hamas Conflict

Forced to bypass the disrupted Strait of Hormuz, Saudi Arabia's increased reliance on alternative routes leaves its critical oil shipments vulnerable to Houthi attacks.


Yemen's Houthis Threaten Saudi Oil Exports With Red Sea Blockade

Argentina

Bolivia

Brazil

Chile

Colombia

Ecuador

Guyana

Peru

Venezuela

Pilgrims with flags from different countries gather at Copacabana beach in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, on July 23, 2013, as they wait for the official opening of the Catholic Church's World Youth Day, which will be celebrated with a holy Mass. 

As many South American countries embrace right-leaning governments, their policies will increasingly align with those of the U.S. Trump administration, opening them to increased security cooperation, although economic integration remains unlikely.

What South America's Rightward Political Shift Means for U.S. Relations

Cars stand in line for gasoline at a Lukoil gas station on July 8, 2026, outside of Moscow, Russia.

Russia will retain the ability to produce and export most of its oil, but sustained Ukrainian strikes will erode its refining capacity, exacerbate domestic fuel shortages and raise the risk of deeper production cuts.

Ukrainian Strikes Deepen Russia's Fuel Refining Crisis

People pass a large banner depicting U.S. President Donald Trump with a target on his head, during funeral ceremonies for Iran's slain Supreme Leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, at the Grand Mosalla on July 5 in Tehran, Iran. 

Global Trade

Recent tit-for-tat strikes between the United States and Iran signal the rising risk of a return to high-intensity regional conflict following the June 17 memorandum of understanding.


U.S.-Iran Truce at Risk of Collapse Over Hormuz Control Dispute

Cyber

Social Issues

A fragile truce in the Middle East, persistent energy-driven inflation, shifting U.S. trade policy and escalating regional pressures from Europe to Africa will collectively shape geopolitical risk in the third quarter.

2026 Third-Quarter Forecast: An Excerpt

Energy

SITUATION REPORTS

Mozambique: Latest Fuel Shortages Highlight Foreign Currency Woes, Distributors' Hurdles

Yemen: Houthis Threaten To Increasingly Target Vessels in the Northern Red Sea

Ukraine, Russia: Energy Deficit Will Deepen Ukraine's Winter Vulnerability

OPEC+: Bloc Unwinds Final Voluntary Production Cuts

South Africa: Government Advancing Power Sector Reforms Agenda

Europe: Record Drought Forces Nuclear Shutdowns, Strains River Transport

U.S., Iran: U.S. Resumes Limited Airstrikes on Iran

Taiwan, Papua New Guinea: Taipei Halts LNG Purchases Over Trade Office Row

Forecasts

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