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Israel-Hamas Conflict

Politics

The United States is reportedly planning to build a $500 million military base capable of housing several thousand troops near Gaza to monitor the Israel-Hamas ceasefire agreement, The Times of Israel reported on Nov. 11.

U.S., Israel: U.S. Reportedly Planning Base in Israel To Monitor Ceasefire

Military & Security

Mediators are working to convince Hamas fighters trapped in Rafah's Israeli-controlled tunnels to lay down their arms in exchange for safe passage, as the trapped fighters threatened to undo the fragile Gaza truce, Reuters reported on Nov. 6.

Israel, Gaza: Trapped Hamas Fighters Could Destabilize Truce

A spokesperson for the Israel Defense Forces, or IDF, announced that Israel would resume the ceasefire with Hamas after Israel conducted a series of large-scale airstrikes on Gaza, reportedly killing at least 100 people, Bloomberg reported on Oct. 29.

Israel, Palestinian Territories: Israel Resumes Ceasefire After Airstrikes in Gaza

Israel resumed its truce with Hamas after a weekend of fighting in the Gaza Strip, saying it would resume humanitarian aid but would continue to react to provocations from militants, Bloomberg reported on Oct. 20. 

Israel, Gaza: Ceasefire Wobbles but Holds for Now

Indonesia

A U.S. defense official said Indonesia, Azerbaijan and Pakistan were leading contenders to contribute troops to a post-war Gaza stabilization force, as talks continued for the second phase of the Trump peace plan meant to permanently end the Israel-Hamas war, Politico reported on Oct. 15.

Indonesia, Gaza, U.S.: Trump Throwing Wide Net for Multinational Force in Gaza

amas has released all of the hostage bodies it can access, a spokesperson claimed after it handed over nine of 28 dead hostages, though Israel suspects the group has access to at least an additional six bodies, CNN reported Oct. 16.

Israel, Palestinian Territories: Hamas Says It Has Released All the Hostage Bodies It Can

Israel is expected to reopen the Rafah border crossing between Egypt and Gaza and increase humanitarian aid inflows into the strip in a reversal of its Oct. 14 decision following Hamas' release of four additional deceased bodies, though one is reportedly not that of an Israeli hostage, Reuters reported on Oct. 15. 

Israel, Palestinian Territories: Israel Reverses Course and Will Open Rafah Crossing, Increase Aid

Israel is refusing to reopen the Rafah border crossing between Gaza and Egypt on Oct. 15 in accordance with the first phase of the ceasefire agreement, which took effect on Oct. 10, due to Hamas' refusal to release the majority of the remaining 24 bodies of deceased hostages in Gaza, though four more are expected to be released on Oct. 14, The Times of Israel reported on Oct. 14.

Israel, Gaza: Israel Refuses To Reopen Rafah Border Crossing, Decreases Humanitarian Aid

Assessments

Excavation crews work amid rubble in Hamad City, west of Khan Yunis, Gaza, on Oct. 26, 2025. 

The extended timeline for reconstruction ensures dire humanitarian conditions in Gaza will likely persist for years, fueling future radicalization and significant population displacement.

Gaza Reconstruction Likely To Take Years and Fuel Palestinian Emigration

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu participates in a state memorial ceremony for the fallen soldiers of the two-year Gaza war at the Mount Herzl military cemetery in Jerusalem on Oct. 16, 2025.

The Israeli prime minister is unlikely to call early elections and will likely increase military pressure on Hamas in an effort to reduce the likelihood that he is unseated in elections due by October 2026.


Gaza Ceasefire Hangs in Balance as Netanyahu Contemplates Political Survival

Australia

Ukraine

Russia

U.S. President Donald Trump (R) and Russian President Vladimir Putin on Aug. 15, 2025, at Joint Base Elmendorf-Richardson in Anchorage, Alaska. Delegations from the United States and Russia, including U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio and Russian Foreign Affairs Minister Sergey Lavrov, respectively, will meet this week to resume conversations about their countries' bilateral relationship and the ongoing war in Ukraine.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

A look at what the coming week will bring -- and a list of recommended RANE articles from the week that was.

The Weekly Rundown: U.S. and Russian Delegations Meet, a Still-Fragile Hamas-Israel Ceasefire 

Egypt

Iran

Lebanon

United Arab Emirates

Yemen

An Israeli military truck carries a tank in southern Israel on the border with the Gaza Strip, on Oct. 14, 2025.

The ceasefire will allow Israel to redirect resources away from Gaza toward other regional threats, particularly Iran, while temporarily easing diplomatic tensions with Egypt and the UAE.

The Regional Implications of the Oct. 8 Gaza Ceasefire

Cameroon

Japan

France

Palestinians on Oct. 10 on Al-Rashid road headed toward Gaza City. U.S. President Donald Trump said he might visit the Middle East just as 20 hostages are meant to be released by Hamas after surviving two years in captivity as the White House pushes for the solidification of a frail ceasefire between Israel and Hamas.

The Weekly Rundown: Trump Tries To Solidify the Gaza Ceasefire, a Presidential Vote in Cameroon

Media

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Global Trade

What should companies be on the lookout for through the end of 2025 and beyond?

Essential Geopolitics: Trends From RANE's 2025 Fourth-Quarter Forecast

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Qatar

Turkey

People react at Hostage Square in Tel Aviv on Oct. 9, 2025, following news of a new Gaza ceasefire deal.

Violence in Gaza will almost certainly decrease as both Israel and Hamas are pressured to comply with the first phase of the ceasefire, keeping the truce intact in the coming days and possibly weeks.

After Two Years of War, a Permanent Gaza Ceasefire?

Columns

On Geopolitics

An antique map showing the area around modern-day Israel and the Palestinian territories. 

Current conflict dynamics suggest an uneasy ''one-and-a-half-state'' solution may emerge, where Palestinians are granted limited autonomy in reservation-style territories under Israeli control, potentially mitigating violence but leaving Israel more internationally isolated.

A Palestinian 'Half-State' Could Reduce Violence, but Deepen Israel's Isolation

Sub-Saharan Africa

Americas

Middle East and North Africa

Asia-Pacific

Europe

Eurasia

South Asia

Forecast Webcast

Join our analysts for this webcast recording exploring key topics identified in RANE's 2025 Fourth-Quarter Forecast.

2025 Fourth-Quarter Forecast Webcast

U.S.-China Relations

The fourth quarter will bring shifting trade tactics, evolving wars, and pivotal elections and flashpoints worldwide that will test governments’ stability and market confidence.

2025 Fourth-Quarter Forecast: An Excerpt

United Kingdom

Dignitaries attend a U.N. Security Council meeting on the situation in the Middle East, including the question of Palestinian statehood, during the U.N. General Assembly on Sept. 23, 2025, in New York City. 

Western countries' growing recognition of Palestinian statehood is largely symbolic and will likely galvanize Israel's push for West Bank annexation, risking further Israeli diplomatic isolation abroad and sporadic violence at home.

The West's Growing Support for Palestinian Statehood Will Have Limited Concrete Impacts

Egyptian army vehicles are deployed along the border with the Gaza Strip on July 4, 2024, in the north Sinai Peninsula. 

Energy

While an all-out war remains improbable, Egypt's military buildup in the Sinai Peninsula will increase the risk of sporadic border incidents and could prompt Israel to suspend a major energy deal with Cairo.

Israel-Hamas Conflict

SITUATION REPORTS

U.S., Israel: U.S. Reportedly Planning Base in Israel To Monitor Ceasefire

Israel, Gaza: Trapped Hamas Fighters Could Destabilize Truce

Israel, Palestinian Territories: Israel Resumes Ceasefire After Airstrikes in Gaza

Israel, Gaza: Ceasefire Wobbles but Holds for Now

Indonesia, Gaza, U.S.: Trump Throwing Wide Net for Multinational Force in Gaza

Israel, Palestinian Territories: Hamas Says It Has Released All the Hostage Bodies It Can

Israel, Palestinian Territories: Israel Reverses Course and Will Open Rafah Crossing, Increase Aid

Israel, Gaza: Israel Refuses To Reopen Rafah Border Crossing, Decreases Humanitarian Aid

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