El Salvador

Military & Security

Politics

Social Issues

El Salvador's Legislative Assembly approved a constitutional reform that allows the president -- currently Nayib Bukele -- to be reelected indefinitely, Reuters reported on July 31.

El Salvador: Bukele Consolidates Power as Legislative Assembly Removes Presidential Term Limits

Israel

Palestinian Territories

On July 27, Israel announced 10-hour pauses in fighting in parts of the Gaza Strip -- specifically Al-Mawasi, Deir al-Balah and Gaza City -- to facilitate humanitarian aid delivery, according to the Times of Israel on July 28. 

Israel, Palestinian Territories: Limited Humanitarian Aid, Airdrops Enter Gaza

Mexico

United States

Economics

Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum signed a new telecommunications law into law, which will take effect on July 17, El Economista reported July 16. 

Mexico: Government to Expand Internet Access, Cut Costs with New Telecom Law

Panama

Panamanian authorities suspended access to internet and mobile phone services in Bocas del Toro after President Jose Raul Mulino declared a state of emergency in the province following nearly two months of protests, Deutsche Welle reported June 21. 

Panama: State of Emergency on Protest-Ridden Province Unlikely to End Demonstrations in the Long Term 

Colombia

More than 70,000 people marched across 20 cities in Colombia to rebuke rising violence and the assassination attempt of right-wing Senator and presidential hopeful Miguel Uribe, El Pais reported June 15.

Colombia: Marches Against Assassination Attempt Highlight Government's Dwindling Popular Support 

A bill that would have dissolved Israel's Knesset was rejected in a 61-53 vote in the legislature on June 12, after the two religious parties in Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's coalition, Shas and United Torah Judaism, backed off their threats to support the motion upon reaching a last-minute compromise on ultra-Orthodox conscription, The New York Times has reported.

Israel: Netanyahu Survives Knesset Vote to Dissolve Itself After Last-Minute Compromise With Religious Parties 

The Los Angeles Police Department announced that it made "mass arrests" overnight on June 10-11 as police enforced the first night of a curfew in the downtown area of the city, but there were far fewer disturbances compared to prior evenings, The New York Times reported June 11. 

U.S.: LAPD Makes Mass Arrests as Protests Spread, Judge Sets Hearing on Trump Troop Move

A federal judge issued a temporary restraining order preventing the U.S. Department of Homeland Security from implementing its 22 May decision to revoke the certificate of the Harvard University Student and Exchange Visitor Program.

U.S.: Judge Blocks Trump Administration's Effort to Bar Harvard From Enrolling Foreign Students

Snapshots

China

Tibetan spiritual leader the Dalai Lama looks on as offerings presented by Buddhist followers are laid on a table during a Long Life Prayer offering ceremony at the Main Tibetan Temple in McLeod Ganj, near the Indian city of Dharamshala, on June 30, 2025. 

New clarity over the 90-year-old spiritual leader's succession plans threatens to reignite Western criticism of China's treatment of Tibetans and revive reputational risks for Western businesses active in China.

Dalai Lama's Succession Plan Revives Tibet Issue for China and the West

U.S.-China Relations

Assessments

National Guard troops stand in front of a government building during a protest in Los Angeles, California, on June 8, 2025. 

The White House's deployment of National Guard troops to the Los Angeles protests reflects an increasingly aggressive mass deportation effort, and intense pushback against it, that set the stage for more unrest, legal standoffs and economic uncertainty.

By Deploying the National Guard to LA, Trump Doubles Down on His Mass Deportation Efforts

Poland

Supporters of the PiS party demonstrate April 12 in Warsaw, Poland. Poland will hold a presidential election May 18 and runoff June 1 if no candidate obtains more than 50% in the first round.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

The outcome of Poland's election will determine whether Prime Minister Donald Tusk's centrist government will coexist with a cooperative president or continue to face institutional constraints from an ideologically opposed president.

Poland's Election: Potential Outcomes and Their Implications

Global Elections

Sub-Saharan Africa

Americas

Middle East and North Africa

Asia-Pacific

Europe

Eurasia

South Asia

Cyber

Energy

Environment, Science & Technology

Israel-Hamas Conflict

Intensifying trade wars, a potential ceasefire in Ukraine, continued volatility in the Middle East and consequential elections in key countries will shape the quarter.

2025 Second-Quarter Forecast: An Excerpt

U.S.-Iran Relations

South Africa

South African President Cyril Ramaphosa arrives at a briefing at his African National Congress (ANC) party's headquarters in Johannesburg on May 13, 2024.

South Africa will struggle to meet Trump's demands for major foreign and domestic policy changes, which will risk exposing the country to disruptive U.S. economic retaliation, including entity-based sanctions.

Trump Turns Up the Heat on South Africa

Chile

Chile's President Gabriel Boric speaks during the "Palestinian Christmas: From Bethlehem to Chile, a light of hope" ceremony in Santiago on Dec. 17, 2024.

During his last year in office, Chilean President Gabriel Boric will moderate his economic policy and bolster security to unify his coalition and reflect voters' changing priorities.

In Chile, What To Expect From Boric's Last Year in Office

Columns

On Geopolitics

Armenia

Ukraine

Azerbaijan

Russia

Crowds of Palestinians gather to receive food outside a U.N. aid distribution center in the Gazan city of Deir al-Balah on Nov. 2, 2024.

The displacement of any Palestinians from the Gaza Strip will further erode post-World War II norms against population transfers, laying the groundwork for future global conflicts.

Trump's Gaza Plan Risks Further Eroding Global Constraints on Population Removals

Democratic Republic of the Congo

Ethiopia

Kenya

Rwanda

Lebanon

Sri Lanka

Damage on Feb. 13 in the Jabaliya refugee camp in northern Gaza.

A look at what the coming week will bring -- and a list of recommended RANE articles from the week that was.

The Weekly Rundown: Mideast Ceasefires and Arab Gaza Proposals, the AU Summit

Tanzania

Brazil

Cuba

Haiti

Nicaragua

Venezuela

Iraq

Jordan

Syria

Yemen

Cambodia

Indonesia

North Macedonia

Bosnia and Herzegovina

Serbia

Albania

Kosovo

Afghanistan

Bangladesh

India

The lobby of the headquarters for the U.S. Agency for International Development is seen on Feb. 3, 2025, in Washington, D.C. 

Cuts to U.S.-funded humanitarian and development programs could worsen global health outcomes, destabilize security environments, accelerate democratic backsliding, and create opportunities for rival powers to expand their influence.

The Global Implications of Trump's Foreign Aid Cuts

While government reforms will help catalyze much-needed investments in water infrastructure, these are unlikely to rapidly resolve the country's water supply challenges, which threaten to undermine South Africa's economic growth amid more frequent droughts. 

The Geopolitics of Water: The Cascading Effects of South African Underinvestment in Water Infrastructure

The Geopolitics of Water

Cargo containers painted with Chinese and U.S. flags. Trade disruptions, shifting military conflicts and domestic political turbulence will shape global affairs in 2025.

Trade disruptions, shifting military conflicts and domestic political turbulence will shape global affairs in 2025.

2025 Annual Forecast: A Global Overview

Turkey

Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan addresses Turkey's parliament on Oct. 1, 2024, in Ankara. 

Ankara's efforts could fail if the pro-Kurdish DEM Party makes extensive demands or if widespread PKK violence breaks out.

To Gain Support for Its Constitutional Reform, Turkey's Government Turns to the Kurds

Social Issues

SITUATION REPORTS

El Salvador: Bukele Consolidates Power as Legislative Assembly Removes Presidential Term Limits

Israel, Palestinian Territories: Limited Humanitarian Aid, Airdrops Enter Gaza

Mexico: Government to Expand Internet Access, Cut Costs with New Telecom Law

Panama: State of Emergency on Protest-Ridden Province Unlikely to End Demonstrations in the Long Term

Colombia: Marches Against Assassination Attempt Highlight Government's Dwindling Popular Support

Israel: Netanyahu Survives Knesset Vote to Dissolve Itself After Last-Minute Compromise With Religious Parties

U.S.: LAPD Makes Mass Arrests as Protests Spread, Judge Sets Hearing on Trump Troop Move

U.S.: Judge Blocks Trump Administration's Effort to Bar Harvard From Enrolling Foreign Students

Forecasts

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