Georgia

Politics

Social Issues

Georgian police violently dispersed demonstrators at dawn on Nov. 19 who had been camping in tents for 48 hours and occupied a building at Tbilisi State University, Civil Georgia reported the same day. 

Georgia: Security Forces Disperse Protest Encampment

Russia

After days of protests over an investment agreement with Moscow that would allow Russians to buy local real estate, on the evening of Nov. 15, opposition activists stormed the complex housing parliament and a presidential administration building in Abkhazia's capital, Sukhumi, and continue to occupy it as of Nov. 18, DW reported Nov. 16.

Georgia, Russia: Abkhazia Political Crisis Does Not Threaten Russian Control

New Zealand

New Zealand suspended a parliamentary session after Maori members of the opposition staged a haka protest (a ceremonial dance and chant) to disrupt a vote to amend the 1840 Treaty of Waitangi that governs the rights of Indigenous Maori people, Reuters reported on Nov. 14.

New Zealand: Indigenous Treaty Bill Disrupted by Lawmakers' Haka Protest

Belarus

The Belarusian parliament approved Jan. 26 as the date of Belarus' next presidential election, the Moscow Times reported Oct. 23.

Belarus: Date Set For 2025 Presidential Election 

Poland

Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk said Oct. 12 that Poland will temporarily suspend the right to claim asylum in the country and will not implement the European Union's new migration and asylum pact during a rally of his Civic Platform (KO) party, the largest in Poland's ruling coalition, Reuters reported Oct. 14.

Poland: Tusk Proposes Temporary Suspension of Asylum Rights

Mexico

Economics

On her second day in office, President Claudia Sheinbaum outlined 100 promises and unveiled that her first reform package would include bills to reduce gender violence and the pay gap, El Pais reported Oct. 3. 

Mexico: Sheinbaum and Morena Point to Women's and Workers' Rights As First Priorities

China

The Standing Committee of the National People's Congress on Sept. 13 passed a motion to raise the retirement age for Chinese workers from 60 to 63 for men, 55 to 58 for women in white collar jobs, and 50 to 55 for women in blue collar jobs.

China: Country Raises Retirement Age, Pension Contributions

South Africa

The center-right Democratic Alliance (DA) threatened to exit South Africa's coalition government if President Cyril Ramaphosa signs an unamended version of the Basic Education Laws Amendment (BELA) into law following a statement from the presidency that Ramaphosa will sign the bill Sept. 13, News 24 reported Sept. 11.

South Africa: Democratic Alliance Threatens to Exit Coalition Government Over Education Bill

Assessments

Turkey

Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan addresses Turkey's parliament on Oct. 1, 2024, in Ankara. 

Military & Security

Ankara's efforts could fail if the pro-Kurdish DEM Party makes extensive demands or if widespread PKK violence breaks out.

To Gain Support for Its Constitutional Reform, Turkey's Government Turns to the Kurds

National Action Party Sen. Miguel Angel Yunes Linares (L) addresses lawmakers in the legislature's upper house about the judicial reform proposed by the government in Congress in Mexico City, Mexico, on Sept. 10, 2024. 

Energy

A series of interventionist constitutional reforms is putting Mexico's private sector on edge, but global de-risking will likely continue to attract foreign investment in the long term.

Interventionist Constitutional Reforms Unlikely To Deter Foreign Investment in Mexico 

Media

United States

Podcasts

What levels of unrest are we likely to see throughout 2024 and beyond?

Essential Geopolitics: The Risk of U.S. Political Unrest Leading up to Elections

Global Elections

Aging workforces are slowing growth and raising public debt in advanced economies, while rapid labor force growth and high youth unemployment are creating significant economic challenges for developing countries.

The Economic Implications of Shifting Global Demographics

House and Senate elections will help decide whether the next president will need to rely largely on executive power to implement policy, shaping his or domestic policy.

2024 Elections: The United States

Israel

Lebanon

Palestinian Territories

Japan

Germany

Sri Lanka

The site of an Israeli strike on Sept. 19 in the southern Lebanese border village of Mahmoudiyeh. Fighting between Israel and Hezbollah will continue to intensify in the next week.

Israel-Hamas Conflict

A look at what the coming week will bring -- and a list of recommended RANE articles from the week that was.

The Weekly Rundown: Escalating Israel-Hezbollah Conflict, the Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Snapshots

Ghana

A man holds cedis, the Ghanan currency, notes in Accra, Ghana, on Dec. 1, 2022.

Ghana's adherence to its IMF program will likely see it enjoy rebounding economic growth in 2025, even if the country's upcoming elections and reliance on commodity exports pose short- and long-term risks.

Despite Downside Risks, Ghana Is Poised for a Progressive Economic Recovery

Demonstrators calling for action to secure the release of Israeli hostages held captive since the Oct. 7, 2023, attacks by Palestinian militants Sept. 3 in front of the Israeli Defense Ministry in Tel Aviv, Israel. A strengthened anti-government movement in Israel is likely to reduce coalition government unity and could lead to months of disruptions to daily life, incentivizing the Israeli government to intensify military operations in Gaza, pulling forces from the northern front and West Bank, and seeing tensions between pro- and anti-government partisans possibly escalate into violence.

A strengthened anti-government movement in Israel is likely to reduce coalition government unity and could lead to months of disruptions to daily life.

As the Opposition Gains Strength, Disruptions in Israel and the Gaza Conflict Will Increase

2024 Elections: Sri Lanka 

Sri Lanka's Sept. 21 presidential election will pit four candidates against one another, portending various political and economic risks.

2024 Elections: Sri Lanka

Bangladesh

India

A protest in Dhaka, Bangladesh, on Aug. 15.

In Bangladesh, improving security will not eliminate the high risk of additional violence and protests in the coming weeks, while policy uncertainty and severe political tensions in the coming months will continue to threaten the operating environment for businesses.

In Bangladesh, Improving Security Does Not Spell Stability

Iran

Iran's President Masoud Pezeshkian (C) greets parliament members after giving an address during a session to approve his new Cabinet appointments in Tehran on Aug. 21, 2024.

Pezeshkian's new Cabinet reveals his forthcoming focus on economic reform, the result of which will affect the prospects of future social reform and the succession process for Iran's next supreme leader.

Iran's Pezeshkian Prioritizes Economic Platform in Olive Branch to Conservatives

U.S.-Iran Relations

Bangladesh's military is likely to play a continued role in domestic politics, particularly if the general election is delayed and economic challenges and unrest worsen, and renewed episodes of social unrest are likely if the military takes measures to prevent the Awami League from returning to power.

Social Issues

SITUATION REPORTS

Georgia: Security Forces Disperse Protest Encampment

Georgia, Russia: Abkhazia Political Crisis Does Not Threaten Russian Control

New Zealand: Indigenous Treaty Bill Disrupted by Lawmakers' Haka Protest

Belarus: Date Set For 2025 Presidential Election

Poland: Tusk Proposes Temporary Suspension of Asylum Rights

Mexico: Sheinbaum and Morena Point to Women's and Workers' Rights As First Priorities

China: Country Raises Retirement Age, Pension Contributions

South Africa: Democratic Alliance Threatens to Exit Coalition Government Over Education Bill

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