United States

Iran

Economics

Energy

Military & Security

Politics

The U.S. Treasury Department's Office of Foreign Assets Control revoked the June 21 general license that allowed Iran to export crude oil as part of the terms of the June memorandum of understanding between the two countries, OFAC said in a July 7 statement published on its website.

Iran, U.S.: U.S. Revokes Sanctions Waivers for Iranian Oil Exports

U.S.-Iran Relations

Algeria

Algeria's election authority announced the provisional results of the July 2 parliamentary elections, with the pro-government National Liberation Front, Democratic National Rally and Future Front parties securing a total of 222 seats in the 407-seat lower house, giving the bloc a clear majority, TSA Algerie reported on July 6.

Algeria: Pro-Government Factions Win Provisional Parliamentary Majority

Indonesia

India

India and Indonesia advanced defense ties as Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi met Indonesian President Prabowo Subianto in Jakarta and signed agreements for Indonesia to acquire BrahMos supersonic cruise missiles, Bloomberg reported on July 7. 

India, Indonesia: Governments Deepen Defense and Economic Cooperation

Europe

NATO allies unveiled some $12 billion in defense deals at an industry forum opening the alliance's July 7-8 Ankara summit, including a $5 billion, 11-country order of Saab surveillance aircraft to replace U.S.-made AWACS, $2.7 billion for Northrop Grumman Triton drones, $4.3 billion for Airbus transport planes and agreements shifting production and maintenance of U.S.-designed missiles to Europe, Bloomberg reported on July 7. 

NATO: Allies Unveil Billions in Defense Deals as Ankara Summit Opens

China

Cyber

Environment, Science & Technology

Chinese officials have held meetings with domestic artificial intelligence companies to discuss potential export restrictions and/or licensing requirements for frontier and other advanced AI models, potentially including both closed-weight and open-weight models, Reuters reported on July 7.

China: Beijing Explores Potential Export Restrictions on Advanced AI Models

U.S.-China Relations

Iran attacked three commercial vessels -- a Qatari liquefied natural gas carrier, a Saudi-flagged oil tanker and a third tanker -- transiting the Strait of Hormuz, with at least one using the U.S.-backed parallel route off the coast of Oman, AP reported on July 7.

U.S., Iran: Iran Attacks Three Commercial Vessels in Strait of Hormuz

Israel

Palestinian Territories

Israel-Hamas Conflict

The Palestinian militant group Hamas dissolved its administrative body responsible for governing the Gaza Strip in order to enable the technocratic, U.S.-backed National Committee for the Administration of Gaza (NCAG) to take control, AP reported on July 6.

Palestinian Territories, Israel: Hamas Dissolves Gaza Administrative Body

Ukraine

Russia

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Russia launched another deadly attack on Kyiv, Ukraine, killing at least 15 people and injuring 56 others, Interfax-Ukraine reported on July 6.

Russia, Ukraine: Another Deadly Strike on Kyiv Points to Hardening Kremlin War Line

The world is connected, but even the broadest topics deserve an individual look. Below are our latest and most relevant military analyses. 

Below are our latest and most relevant military analyses. 

Sub-Saharan Africa

Americas

Asia-Pacific

Eurasia

Middle East and North Africa

South Asia

The Syrian Civil War

The Yemen Civil War

The Libyan Civil War

The Fight Against the Islamic State

The Nagorno-Karabakh Conflict

The India-Pakistan Rivalry

The Ukraine Conflict

Tracking U.S. Naval Power

The Battle for Mosul

Rebalancing Power in the Middle East

Coping With a Nuclear North Korea

The Jihadist Wars

Echoes of the Cold War

Instability in Central Asia

South Asian Militancy

Pakistan: A Military With a Country

Assessments

Australia

Fiji

New Zealand

Vanuatu

Australian Prime Minister Anthony Albanese (left) and Fiji Minister for Public Works, Transport and Meteorological Services, Ro Filipe Tuisawau (right) shake hands during the opening of the Vuvale Skills hub in Suva on July 6, 2026.

Australia's new pacts with Fiji and Vanuatu will strengthen barriers to Chinese military access, but persistent regional development needs and China's ability to project power without local basing will still provide space for Beijing to build influence.

Australia's Pacific Pacts Strengthen, but Don't Secure, Its Strategic Position Against China

A thermometer reading a high temperature is shown over an image of Earth.

The compounding effects of the weather event and disruptions to shipping through the Strait of Hormuz are set to drive global inflation and strain agricultural output well into next year.


How the 2026 El Nino Climate Event Will Affect the Global Economy and Security

Philippines

The NATO headquarters is seen in Brussels, Belgium.

A look at what the coming week will bring -- and a list of recommended RANE articles from the week that was.

The Weekly Rundown: Turkey Hosts NATO Summit, Iran Buries Slain Supreme Leader

Turkey

Billboards are seen ahead of the upcoming NATO Summit in Ankara, Turkey, on June 26, 2026.

Recent U.S. military drawdowns in Germany and threatened reductions in Italy and Spain underscore the stakes of the summit on July 7-8.

Transatlantic Tensions Set To Dominate NATO Summit in Ankara

Belarus

An officer of the State Border Guard Service of Ukraine stands on a destroyed bridge over the Dnipro River, which forms the state border between Ukraine and Belarus, on June 1, 2026.

The threat of Ukrainian retaliatory strikes and Belarus's limited offensive capabilities will likely keep Minsk from directly entering the conflict, but the country will remain a critical base for Russian military pressure against Ukraine and NATO.

Despite Russian Pressure, Belarus Remains Unlikely to Join the Ukraine War

Snapshots

Sudan

Saudi Arabia

United Arab Emirates

Sudan's de facto leader and army chief, Abdel Fattah al-Burhan, waves to spectators after attending a soccer match at Kober Stadium in Khartoum on May 15, 2026.

The outbreak of the Iran war has redirected Western and Arab diplomatic attention away from Sudan, worsening the country's long-running civil war.

Humanitarian Disaster Looms in Sudan as RSF Prepares New Offensive

Computer chips are seen on top of the U.S. and Chinese flags.

The Trump administration's recent shift to a more restrictive, ad-hoc licensing regime for frontier AI models risks slowing U.S. innovation and giving Chinese rivals a competitive advantage.

From Laissez-Faire to Licensing: Understanding Trump's Evolving AI Strategy

Social Issues

A fragile truce in the Middle East, persistent energy-driven inflation, shifting U.S. trade policy and escalating regional pressures from Europe to Africa will collectively shape geopolitical risk in the third quarter.

2026 Third-Quarter Forecast: An Excerpt

Canada

Mexico

Japan

United Kingdom

Cargo ships June 19 off the coast of the Khor Fakkan Container Terminal in Sharjah emirate, along the Gulf of Oman.

The Weekly Rundown: Japan's Takaichi Goes to India, an Unsteady U.S.-Iran Ceasefire

Lebanon

Oman

Maps4media-processed Sentinel-2 satellite imagery shows a broad overview of the Strait of Hormuz on June 16, 2026.

U.S.-Iran talks will face increasingly large obstacles as negotiators approach more contentious topics, namely Iran's nuclear program.

For the U.S. and Iran, the Hardest Negotiations Lie Ahead

Bahrain

Kuwait

Qatar

U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio (C, top) meets with GCC foreign ministers during his visit to the Middle East to discuss with Arab Gulf allies the interim deal between the U.S. and Iran on June 25 in Manama.

While Qatar and Saudi Arabia explore restoring trade ties with Iran, the United Arab Emirates is aligning its security with Israel and the United States.

Divergent Approaches to Iran Expose Gulf Arab Splits

Colombia

Venezuela

Abelardo de la Espriella, who has since been declared president-elect, waves to supporters after casting his vote during the runoff election on June 21, 2026, in Barranquilla, Colombia. 

De la Espriella's administration will reverse many of the outgoing government's security, economic and social policies, restoring a hard-line anti-crime approach and deepening ties with the United States.

What de la Espriella's Victory Means for Colombia

Military & Security

SITUATION REPORTS

Iran, U.S.: U.S. Revokes Sanctions Waivers for Iranian Oil Exports

Algeria: Pro-Government Factions Win Provisional Parliamentary Majority

India, Indonesia: Governments Deepen Defense and Economic Cooperation

NATO: Allies Unveil Billions in Defense Deals as Ankara Summit Opens

China: Beijing Explores Potential Export Restrictions on Advanced AI Models

U.S., Iran: Iran Attacks Three Commercial Vessels in Strait of Hormuz

Palestinian Territories, Israel: Hamas Dissolves Gaza Administrative Body

Russia, Ukraine: Another Deadly Strike on Kyiv Points to Hardening Kremlin War Line

Forecasts

ANALYSES

SECTIONS

Explore

Subscribe

Help & Support