Ukraine

Russia

Military & Security

Politics

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky said Ukraine's stepped-up strikes deep inside Russia will enable Kyiv to negotiate the end of the war on equal footing with Moscow, Reuters reported on June 3.

Russia, Ukraine: Zelensky Says Ukrainian Deep Strikes Are Improving Kyiv's Negotiating Position

United States

Israel

Lebanon

The Lebanese political and militant group Hezbollah rejected the latest ceasefire with Israel jointly announced by the United States, Israel and Lebanon, Axios reported on June 4.

Lebanon, Israel: Hezbollah Rejects Latest Lebanon-Israel Ceasefire

Iran

The U.S. House of Representatives passed a nonbinding war powers resolution to curtail U.S. military operations in the Iran conflict unless the Trump administration gained congressional approval, The New York Times reported on June 3.

U.S., Iran: House Passes Nonbinding War Powers Resolution

U.S.-Iran Relations

Bolivia

Economics

Government sources reported that Bolivian Defense Minister Marcelo Salinas resigned on June 2, marking the highest-level departure from President Rodrigo Paz's government yet amid month-long anti-government protests, Reuters reported the same day. 

Bolivia: Paz Government Struggles as Mass Unrest Continues for Over a Month

Ukrainian long-range drones struck oil storage facilities in St. Petersburg, Russia, early on June 3, hours before the opening of the St. Petersburg International Economic Forum, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky confirmed on his Telegram channel that day. 

Russia, Ukraine: Ukrainian Drones Strike St. Petersburg as Economic Forum Opens

Bahrain

Kuwait

United Arab Emirates

Iran conducted drone and missile attacks against Kuwait -- including Kuwait International Airport and unnamed diplomatic missions -- and Bahrain, resulting in one fatality and at least 63 injuries in Kuwait, including from debris and damage at an airport terminal, Reuters reported on June 3.

U.S., Iran: Latest U.S.-Iran Clashes Result in Iranian Attacks on Gulf Civilian Infrastructure

Russia launched a barrage of hundreds of drones and dozens of missiles at Ukraine overnight, killing at least 18 people and injuring dozens in strikes on Kyiv, Dnipro, Zaporizhzhia, Poltava and Kharkiv, The Guardian reported on June 2.

Ukraine, Russia: Russian Missile Strikes Test Ukraine's Civilian Resilience

Europe

The United States is in highly confidential talks with NATO allies about expanding the number of European countries that host U.S. nuclear weapons from the current six, the Financial Times reported on June 2, citing sources briefed on the discussions.

NATO: U.S. in Talks With NATO Allies To Expand European Nuclear Hosting

The world is connected, but even the broadest topics deserve an individual look. Below are our latest and most relevant military analyses. 

Below are our latest and most relevant military analyses. 

Sub-Saharan Africa

Americas

Asia-Pacific

Eurasia

Middle East and North Africa

South Asia

The Syrian Civil War

The Yemen Civil War

The Libyan Civil War

The Fight Against the Islamic State

The Nagorno-Karabakh Conflict

The India-Pakistan Rivalry

Cyber

The Ukraine Conflict

Tracking U.S. Naval Power

The Battle for Mosul

Rebalancing Power in the Middle East

Coping With a Nuclear North Korea

The Jihadist Wars

Echoes of the Cold War

Instability in Central Asia

South Asian Militancy

Pakistan: A Military With a Country

Assessments

Armenia

Azerbaijan

Thousands of Armenians participate in a rally in Yerevan's Republic Square on May 26, 2024. 

Energy

Prime Minister Pashinyan's likely reelection will empower him to finalize a peace treaty with Azerbaijan and deepen ties with the West, though Russian economic pressure and domestic opposition to constitutional changes could undermine these efforts.

What's at Stake in Armenia's Upcoming Election

Burkina Faso

Cameroon

Central African Republic

Chad

Democratic Republic of the Congo

Mali

Mozambique

Niger

Nigeria

Rwanda

Sudan

The Geopolitics of Natural Resources

Control over critical natural resources is increasingly strengthening armed groups' durability and geographic reach, heightening their physical threats and their ability to create political instability.

Natural Resource Exploitation as an Engine for Insurgency in Sub-Saharan Africa

Snapshots

United Kingdom

Poland

Britain's Prime Minister Keir Starmer and Poland's Prime Minister Donald Tusk attend a signing ceremony of a UK-Poland defence and security treaty at the Battle of Britain Bunker on May 27 in London, England.

Concerned about the reliability of the United States' security commitments, European nations are increasingly relying on bilateral defense agreements to secure their strategic interests and deter Russian aggression.


U.K. and Poland Hedge Against Transatlantic Uncertainty With Bilateral Treaty

Colombia

The Ateela 2 Oil Tanker on April 28 on Qeshm Island, Iran in the Strait of Hormuz.

Environment, Science & Technology

A look at what the coming week will bring -- and a list of recommended RANE articles from the week that was.

The Weekly Rundown: U.S.-Iran Discussions, Brussels To Unveil Tech Sovereignty Package

Philippines

Police personnel arrive outside the Senate of the Philippines in Pasay, Metro Manila, on May 13, 2026.

Intensifying Marcos-Duterte tensions, fueled by the vice president's impeachment and the ICC's attempted arrest of a Duterte-aligned senator, are testing Philippine institutions and threatening policy gridlock before the 2028 presidential race.

The Escalating Marcos-Duterte Feud Threatens Philippine Institutions

A fireball and smoke erupt from a building following an Israeli strike in Tyre, southern Lebanon, on May 28.

Israel-Hamas Conflict

The recent expansion of Israeli operations in southern Lebanon demonstrates an effort to degrade Hezbollah's capabilities prior to any finalized de-escalation agreements between the United States and Iran.


The Strategic Implications of Israel's Expanded Lebanon Campaign

Supporters of Colombian presidential candidate Ivan Cepeda wave flags ahead of his closing campaign rally in Barranquilla, Colombia, on May 24, 2026.

A left-wing victory would portend increased social spending and policy gridlock, a far-right win would portend austerity and decree-based governance, and a center-right win would foster market-friendly policies and stability.

Colombia's Presidential Election: Potential Outcomes and Their Implications

Global Elections

Technicians work at the main blast furnace at the Zaporizhstal Iron and Steel Works on Feb. 12, 2024 in Zaporizhzhia, Ukraine.

Part two of this report examines how either a comprehensive peace agreement or a severe escalation of the war would affect Ukraine's investment climate.



Scenarios for the Future of Foreign Investment in Ukraine, Part 2

Ethiopia

Ethiopian Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed delivers remarks during the official inauguration ceremony of the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam in Guba on Sept. 9, 2025.

Prime Minister Abiy will likely be reelected without sustained unrest, but escalating tensions in Tigray could still fuel a worsening security crisis in the Amhara and/or Oromia regions in a less-likely, higher-impact scenario.

Previewing Ethiopia's General Elections

An employee assembles a long-range drone in a workshop of the Fire Point company, which manufactures FP-1 deep-strike drones and FP-2 strike drones, Jan. 29 in an undisclosed location in Ukraine.

This two-part report outlines how the trajectory of the war with Russia will act as the ultimate determinant of capital allocation and economic recovery in Ukraine.

Scenarios for the Future of Foreign Investment in Ukraine, Part 1

The USS Rafael Peralta implements a maritime blockade against an Iranian-flagged ship attempting to sail toward an Iranian port on April 26, 2026, in the Arabian Sea.

Despite ongoing U.S.-Iran diplomatic engagement, unresolved disputes and continued hostilities make prolonged, unstable containment more likely than a comprehensive, long-lasting peace agreement.

U.S.-Iran Talks More Likely To Contain the War Than Resolve It

Japan

Kazakhstan

India

A cargo ship anchored May 16 in the Strait of Hormuz near Larak Island, Iran. Major gaps in negotiations over the Strait of Hormuz and Iran's nuclear program persist, and the U.S.-Iran ceasefire will remain fragile over the next week.

The Weekly Rundown: Rubio Visits India, a Fragile U.S.-Iran Ceasefire

Military & Security

SITUATION REPORTS

Russia, Ukraine: Zelensky Says Ukrainian Deep Strikes Are Improving Kyiv's Negotiating Position

Lebanon, Israel: Hezbollah Rejects Latest Lebanon-Israel Ceasefire

U.S., Iran: House Passes Nonbinding War Powers Resolution

Bolivia: Paz Government Struggles as Mass Unrest Continues for Over a Month

Russia, Ukraine: Ukrainian Drones Strike St. Petersburg as Economic Forum Opens

U.S., Iran: Latest U.S.-Iran Clashes Result in Iranian Attacks on Gulf Civilian Infrastructure

Ukraine, Russia: Russian Missile Strikes Test Ukraine's Civilian Resilience

NATO: U.S. in Talks With NATO Allies To Expand European Nuclear Hosting

Forecasts

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