China

India

Pakistan

Military & Security

Politics

Pakistan's Punjab state banned public gatherings, sit-ins, rallies, demonstrations and similar activities in Rawalpindi district, which is adjacent to the federal capital, Islamabad, for eight days, and the federal government deployed 10,000 police and paramilitary personnel to the capital, Geo News reported on Oct. 11.

Pakistan: Islamabad Prepares To Host Shanghai Cooperation Organization Summit

Ukraine

Russia

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

A Russian offensive in the Ukrainian-occupied Korenevsky and Sudzhansky districts of Russia's Kursk region resulted in Ukrainian troops losing the largest piece of their salient in the region since Sept. 14, Agentstvo reported on Oct. 11.

Russia, Ukraine: Russia Conducts Largest Attack on Kursk Salient in Over a Month

Mali

A column of armed vehicles from the Malian army and Russia's paramilitary Wagner Group turned back without a fight from an operation against the northern town of Tinzaouaten, which is held by Tuareg rebels of the Permanent Strategic Framework for the Defense of the People of Azawad, or CSP-DPA, Jeune Afrique reported on Oct. 10.

Mali: Pro-Government Military Operation Turns Back From Tinzaouaten

Eritrea

Ethiopia

Somalia

Egypt

Egypt, Eritrea and Somalia agreed to advance joint security cooperation at a trilateral summit of the three countries' heads of state, Reuters reported on Oct. 10.

Africa: Egypt, Eritrea, Somalia Advance Tripartite Security Partnership

Mozambique

Opposition presidential candidate Venancio Mondlane unilaterally declared victory in Mozambique's Oct. 9 general election despite the absence of official results from the National Election Commission, Club of Mozambique reported on Oct. 10.

Mozambique: Opposition Candidate Unilaterally Declares Victory in General Election

Bolivia

Economics

A Bolivian prosecutor issued an arrest warrant for former President Evo Morales after he failed to testify on an investigation into him regarding human trafficking and rape, El Deber reported on Oct. 11.

Bolivia: Potential Arrest of Former President To Fuel Instability, Unrest Risks

Colombia

The Colombian government accepted an invitation from the National Liberation Army armed guerrilla group, or ELN, to resume peace talks, which stopped in September after the parties resumed clashes with one another across the country, Colombia Reports reported on Oct. 10.

Colombia: Government and ELN Agree To Resume Peace Talks

Australia

China will lift trade restrictions on Australian lobster by the end of 2024, Chinese Premier Li Qiang said while meeting with Australian Prime Minister Anthony Albanese at the Association of Southeast Asian Nations summit in Laos, Reuters reported on Oct. 10. 

China, Australia: Beijing Promises To Lift Final Trade Restrictions on Canberra by Year's End

The world is connected, but even the broadest topics deserve an individual look. Below are our latest and most relevant military analyses. 

Below are our latest and most relevant military analyses. 

Sub-Saharan Africa

Americas

Asia-Pacific

Europe

Eurasia

Middle East and North Africa

South Asia

The Syrian Civil War

The Yemen Civil War

The Libyan Civil War

The Fight Against the Islamic State

The Nagorno-Karabakh Conflict

The India-Pakistan Rivalry

Cyber

The Ukraine Conflict

Tracking U.S. Naval Power

The Battle for Mosul

Rebalancing Power in the Middle East

Coping With a Nuclear North Korea

The Jihadist Wars

Echoes of the Cold War

Instability in Central Asia

South Asian Militancy

Pakistan: A Military With a Country

Assessments

United States

Iran

Israel

A look at what the coming week will bring -- and a list of recommended RANE articles from the week that was.

The Weekly Rundown: A Shanghai Cooperation Organization Meeting, Chinese Financial Support Measures

U.S.-Iran Relations

Lebanon

A plume of smoke billows following an Israeli air strike above a border town in southern Lebanon on Oct. 7, 2024. 

Israel-Hamas Conflict

While the country may initially come together in the face of Israel's invasion, various Lebanese factions will probably become more critical of Hezbollah as the war wears on, raising the risk of violence between the group and its domestic rivals.

How Long Will Lebanon Rally Behind Hezbollah's Fight Against Israel?

Columns

On Geopolitics

Iraq

Palestinian Territories

Syria

Yemen

An Israeli tank Aug. 7, 2024, in southern Israel along the border with the Gaza Strip. Washington may change the regional dynamics substantially before the next Oct. 7; if not, we will likely be marking a second anniversary of regional conflict next year. 

Washington may change the regional dynamics substantially before the next Oct. 7; if not, we will likely be marking a second anniversary of regional conflict next year.

Will War in the Middle East Last Another Year?

Taiwan

Taiwanese President William Lai gives his inauguration speech on May 20, 2024, in Taipei, Taiwan.

The president's recent remarks indicate he will continue to remove rhetorical ambiguity about Taiwan's de facto sovereignty, portending more Chinese military drills and deeper Western engagement with Taiwan.

For Taiwan, Lai's Pro-Sovereignty Rhetoric May Invite Western Support -- and Chinese Drills

Media

Podcasts

What does Somalia's security landscape look like for the next five to 10 years?

Essential Geopolitics: The Future of Somalia

Indonesia

Indonesian Defense Minister and President-elect Prabowo Subianto (center) is seen next to outgoing President Joko Widodo (right) in the parliament building in Jakarta on Aug. 16, 2024. 

The defense minister-turned-president will maintain his predecessor's efforts to bolster Indonesia's economy while adopting a more hawkish stance abroad, particularly on the country's territorial dispute with China.

In Indonesia, Previewing the Prabowo Presidency

Brazil

Tunisia

Germany

A man in Maputo walks past a wall covered with electoral posters in support of Daniel Chapo, the ruling party candidate in Mozambique’s presidential election, on Oct. 4, 2024. 

The Weekly Rundown: Biden Visits Germany as Mozambique, Tunisia and Brazil Hold Elections

Georgia

The founder of the Georgian Dream party, Bidzina Ivanishvili, stands behind the bulletproof glass as he gives a campaign speech in Gori, Georgia, on Sept. 14, 2024.

In the likely case that the ruling GD party clings to power, Georgia will continue to feign interest in Western integration as it deepens ties with China and Russia. But an opposition victory that yields a new, pro-European government cannot be ruled out.

What's at Stake in Georgia's Oct. 26 Election

Sudan

Algeria

Bahrain

Jordan

Kuwait

Oman

Qatar

Turkey

The Geopolitics of Water

Environment, Science & Technology

Population growth, security vacuums, bad governance and climate change will increasingly strain the desert region's already scarce water supplies, raising the risk of social unrest, interstate conflict and violence from non-state actors.

In the Middle East, Water Will Increasingly Become a Weapon and Driver of Conflict

Rwanda

Frelimo electoral posters are plastered on a wall in Maputo, Mozambique, on Aug. 24, 2024, the first day of the presidential campaign season ahead of the general election on Oct. 9, 2024.

Energy

Mozambique's upcoming general election will likely bring another five years of Frelimo rule, though an independent candidate is drawing LNG contracts to the forefront of the campaign season.

Mozambique's General Election Brings LNG Contracts Centerstage

Global Elections

A topographic map of Iran.

The exposure of its proxy strategy's shortcomings over the past year will force Iran to adapt its national security strategy to compensate.

Iran Grapples With a Weakened Axis of Resistance

Authorities in Israel's southern city of Gedera assess a damaged school building after a projectile exploded upon impact on Oct. 1, 2024, after Iran launched a barrage of missiles at Israel. 

Israel will most likely strike a small number of targets inside Iran, but there is a chance it will pursue more escalatory options that would likely invite further Iranian attacks.

Gauging Israel's Options for Responding to Iran's Ballistic Missile Attack

Military & Security

SITUATION REPORTS

Pakistan: Islamabad Prepares To Host Shanghai Cooperation Organization Summit

Russia, Ukraine: Russia Conducts Largest Attack on Kursk Salient in Over a Month

Mali: Pro-Government Military Operation Turns Back From Tinzaouaten

Africa: Egypt, Eritrea, Somalia Advance Tripartite Security Partnership

Mozambique: Opposition Candidate Unilaterally Declares Victory in General Election

Bolivia: Potential Arrest of Former President To Fuel Instability, Unrest Risks

Colombia: Government and ELN Agree To Resume Peace Talks

China, Australia: Beijing Promises To Lift Final Trade Restrictions on Canberra by Year's End

Forecasts

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