The Americas stretch from the Arctic Circle in Canada to the southern tip of Chile. This geographically, culturally and politically diverse region is home to the United States, a nation whose geography helped it become the foremost economic and military power in the world &mdash; an ascendance aided in part by bringing Mexico and Canada into its sphere of influence. Farther south, the nations of South America are like islands, separated by vast spaces of impenetrable mountains, rivers and jungles. Try though these countries may to integrate more closely, deeper ties such as those that characterize North America will prove elusive.

This geographically, culturally and politically diverse region is home to the United States, a nation whose geography helped it become the foremost economic and military power in the world

Americas

Antigua and Barbuda

Argentina

Barbados

Belize

Brazil

Canada

Chile

Colombia

Costa Rica

Cuba

Dominica

Dominican Republic

Ecuador

El Salvador

Grenada

Guatemala

Guyana

Haiti

Honduras

Mexico

Nicaragua

Panama

Paraguay

Peru

Saint Lucia

Saint Vincent and the Grenadines

Suriname

Bahamas

Trinidad and Tobago

United States

Uruguay

Venezuela

Saint Kitts and Nevis

Greenland

Jamaica

Venezuela's Unraveling

Colombian Peace Process

Security Challenges in Latin America

Tracking U.S. Naval Power

The U.S. and the Balance of Power

The Importance of Mexico

North America Unrivaled

Commodities: A Cautionary Tale

Crossing Borders

Assessments

China

Taiwan

Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi (right) and Venezuelan Foreign Minister Yvan Gil (left) attend a meeting in Beijing on May 12, 2025.

Economics

Global Trade

Military & Security

Politics

U.S. pressure on the new Venezuelan government will briefly cool China's engagement in Latin America and could renew trade tensions with Washington, though Maduro's removal is unlikely to affect China's calculus regarding Taiwan.

Assessing China's Response to the U.S. Capture of Venezuela's Maduro

U.S.-China Relations

Iran

Israel

People gather during a protest in Tehran, Iran, on Jan. 8, 2026. 

The severity of Iran's crackdown on protesters makes it highly likely that Trump will authorize some form of action (e.g., sanctions, cyberattacks or military strikes), with Tehran likely to respond proportionally unless the regime's survival is threatened.

The Risks and Implications of a U.S. Attack Against Iran

U.S.-Iran Relations

Europe

The flag of Greenland, known locally as "Erfalasorput," flies next to the Church of Our Saviour on March 30, 2025, in Nuuk, Greenland. 

The United States' aim to acquire Greenland risks triggering a NATO crisis if U.S. and European negotiators fail to reach a settlement.

Europe Weighs Responses to U.S. Pressure Over Greenland

Iraq

Lebanon

Palestinian Territories

Yemen

A stock image shows the silhouettes of soldiers.

Israel-Hamas Conflict

Emboldened by its recent capture of Venezuela's Maduro, the White House will likely seek to kill and potentially abduct more Middle Eastern extremists in the coming year, but pursuing high-profile targets like Iranian leaders will carry significant risks.

Potential Targets for U.S. Assassination and Abduction Operations in the Middle East

Nigeria

Norway

Ukraine

Russia

India

Pakistan

Cyber

Environment, Science & Technology

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Social Issues

RANE's Top 10 Risks for 2026 highlights high-impact, low-probability risks and trends from the annual forecast presented in more extreme terms.

RANE's Top 10 Risks for 2026

Benin

Uganda

Denmark

The Greenlandic flag on Jan. 8, 2026, on the roof of Tivoli Castle in Copenhagen, Denmark.

A look at what the coming week will bring -- and a list of recommended RANE articles from the week that was.

The Weekly Rundown: Elections in Uganda and Benin, Canada's Carney Goes to China

Columns

On Security

U.S. President Donald Trump, alongside (left to right) Deputy Chief of Staff Stephen Miller, Secretary of State Marco Rubio and Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth, speaks to the press following U.S. military actions in Venezuela, at his Mar-a-Lago residence in Palm Beach, Florida, on Jan. 3, 2026.

While Trump routinely portrays himself as unpredictable, his extensive use of U.S. military force abroad over the past year offers insight into the likely direction of his foreign policy for the remainder of his term.


Lessons From Trump’s Use of Force Abroad in His First Year Back in Office

Snapshots

Syria

Israeli troops patrol the border fence with Syria near the Druze village of Majdal Shams in the Israel-annexed Golan Heights on July 23, 2025. 

While the new U.S.-backed intelligence-sharing agreement will help temporarily ease cross-border tensions, unresolved security issues and structural constraints undermine the prospects for deeper normalization.

Syria-Israel Deal Paves Way for Broader Security Coordination, but Constraints Remain

This map shows the approximate locations of U.S. Carrier Strike Groups and Amphibious Ready Groups.

U.S. Naval Update Map: Jan. 8, 2026

Activists hold Iranian flags in support of the ongoing protests in Iran during a rally in Washington, D.C., on Jan. 3, 2026.

The demonstrations could endure for several more weeks or months before they are ultimately suppressed, opening the door to risky Israeli and/or U.S. military or covert action against Iranian senior leadership amid the turmoil.

Protests in Iran Provide a Window for U.S. and/or Israeli Intervention

Armenia

Azerbaijan

Armenian Foreign Minister Ararat Mirzoyan and U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio met in Washington and released the TRIPP implementation framework outlining plans to grant a U.S.-majority consortium exclusive rights to develop a transit corridor linking Azerbaijan to its Naxcivan exclave through southern Armenia, Bloomberg reported on Jan. 13. 

Armenia, U.S.: TRIPP Framework Puts American Capital at the Heart of South Caucasus Geopolitics

U.S. special envoy Steve Witkoff announced that the second phase of the Israel-Hamas ceasefire plan in Gaza would begin, saying it would entail the demilitarization, reconstruction and post-Hamas governance of the strip, Al Jazeera reported on Jan. 14. 

Israel, Gaza: Phase Two of Gaza Ceasefire To Begin, but Questions on Implementation Remain

Chinese authorities recently told domestic companies to stop using cybersecurity software made by approximately a dozen U.S. and Israeli companies due to national security concerns, Reuters reported on Jan. 14.

U.S., China: China Bans U.S. and Israeli Cybersecurity Products, Nvidia H200 Chips

Energy

Venezuela's state-owned company Petroleos de Venezuela, better known as PDVSA, started reversing oil production cuts, while Washington has filed for court warrants to seize more sanctioned tankers shipping Venezuelan oil, Reuters reported on Jan. 13. 

U.S., Venezuela: PDVSA Resumes Oil Production Amid Washington's Efforts To Seize More Tankers

The United States has reportedly delivered critical military equipment to Nigeria to support its fight against multiple security threats across the country, Bloomberg reported on Jan. 13.

Nigeria: U.S. Delivers Military Equipment To Strengthen Nigeria's Security Capabilities

Indonesia

The United States is demanding Indonesia purchase U.S.-made maritime surveillance drones and use them to publicly harden its South China Sea and Natuna Sea posture vis-a-vis China as conditions for cutting threatened tariffs from 32% to 19%, according to an Indonesian government document cited by The Straits Times on Jan. 14.

Indonesia, U.S.: Washington's Security Demands Complicate Trade Deal Finalization

Oman

Qatar

Saudi Arabia

Iran has warned regional countries that U.S. bases in the Middle East could be targeted in retaliation for potential U.S. attacks in support of Iranian protesters, Reuters reported Jan. 14. 

U.S., Iran: Tehran Warns of Potential Attacks Against U.S. Bases, U.S. Partially Evacuates

Japan

South Korea

South Korean President Lee Jae Myung met with Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi in Nara, Takaichi's home city, where they discussed economic security cooperation, including on critical mineral supply chains, Yonhap News Agency reported on Jan. 13.

South Korea, Japan: Lee and Takaichi Seek Cooperation, Avoid Historical Debates

Americas

SITUATION REPORTS

Armenia, U.S.: TRIPP Framework Puts American Capital at the Heart of South Caucasus Geopolitics

Israel, Gaza: Phase Two of Gaza Ceasefire To Begin, but Questions on Implementation Remain

U.S., China: China Bans U.S. and Israeli Cybersecurity Products, Nvidia H200 Chips

U.S., Venezuela: PDVSA Resumes Oil Production Amid Washington's Efforts To Seize More Tankers

Nigeria: U.S. Delivers Military Equipment To Strengthen Nigeria's Security Capabilities

Indonesia, U.S.: Washington's Security Demands Complicate Trade Deal Finalization

U.S., Iran: Tehran Warns of Potential Attacks Against U.S. Bases, U.S. Partially Evacuates

South Korea, Japan: Lee and Takaichi Seek Cooperation, Avoid Historical Debates

Forecasts

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